Patriots
52–28
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 30, 2012 · 2012 Week 4 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
NE 60%40% BUF
56.4%GROUND37.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 38 | +0.39 | 52.6% | 2.6% | +14.7 | 10.4 | 61.1% | 61.6% | -0.5 |
| R.Fitzpatrick | 44 | +0.15 | 43.2% | 6.8% | +6.5 | 12.0 | 56.4% | 58.4% | -1.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.34 | -0.11 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.39 | +0.15 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.29 | -0.57 |
| Success Rate | 59.7% | 39.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 33.8% | 21.7% |
| Yards / Play | 7.53 | 6.35 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.33 | -0.23 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.4% | 53.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.4 | 8.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.49 | 2.67 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 61.5% | 44.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 12.8% | 24.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.9% | 21.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.7 | 27.0 |
| Plays | 77 | 69 |
| Total Yards | 580 | 438 |
| Total EPA | +25.9 | -7.8 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 6 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NE 31%69% BUF
4.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS9.8 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Gostkowski 49 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — BUF +3.8
Kickoffs · NE +1.2Punts · NE +0.5Kicks · BUF +7.1
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 38 | 22/36 | 337 | 8.9 | +14.8 | +0.39 | -0.5 | 53% | +0.42 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon BoldenRB | 16 | 137 | 8.6 | +7.5 | +0.47 | 69% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Stevan RidleyRB | 22 | 106 | 4.8 | +4.0 | +0.18 | 68% | +0.16 | 2 |
| Shane VereenRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.3 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 11 | 9 | 129 | 11.7 | +5.1 | +0.46 | 73% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Brandon LloydWR | 7 | 3 | 50 | 7.1 | +4.3 | +0.62 | 43% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.8 | +1.39 | 50% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Daniel FellsTE | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brandon BoldenRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.7 | +0.72 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 11 | 5 | 104 | 9.4 | +0.7 | +0.06 | 36% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Shane VereenRB | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.6 | -0.29 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 1/3(30 · missed 49, 42) | 30 | 7/7 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoltan MeskoP | 3 | 119 | 39.7 | 39.7 | 49 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin McCourtyFS | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 3 | 14 | 4.7 | 14 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 44 | 22/39 | 349 | 7.9 | +6.5 | +0.15 | -2.0 | 43% | +0.20 | 4 | 4 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tashard ChoiceRB | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.13 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Johnny WhiteRB | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.3 | -0.29 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 8 | 33 | 4.1 | -5.0 | -0.62 | 50% | -0.15 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 13 | 29 | 2.2 | -9.1 | -0.70 | 23% | -0.26 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad SmithWR | 2 | 2 | 49 | 24.5 | +6.7 | +3.37 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Donald JonesWR | 3 | 2 | 90 | 30.0 | +6.5 | +2.18 | 67% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 3 | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | +4.8 | +1.61 | 67% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Scott ChandlerTE | 8 | 4 | 62 | 7.8 | +3.8 | +0.48 | 50% | +0.08 | 2 |
| Dorin DickersonTE | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | +3.5 | +1.74 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tashard ChoiceRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | -0.6 | -0.29 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Trevor GrahamWR | 8 | 4 | 34 | 4.3 | -1.4 | -0.18 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Steve JohnsonWR | 10 | 2 | 23 | 2.3 | -11.9 | -1.19 | 20% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | — | — | 4/4 | — | — | 4 |
| John PotterK | — | — | — | 5 | 3 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn PowellP | 5 | 209 | 41.8 | 39.0 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 1 | 26 | 26.0 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |