Broncos
14–40
DEN @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sat, Dec 24, 2011 · 2011 Week 16 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
DEN 34%66% BUF
26.5%GROUND50.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Tebow | 37 | -0.57 | 35.1% | 10.8% | -21.2 | 14.0 | 46.4% | 54.1% | -7.6 |
| R.Fitzpatrick | 30 | -0.01 | 46.7% | 3.3% | -0.4 | 4.8 | 55.6% | 64.5% | -8.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  DEN |  BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.31 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.57 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.02 | +0.04 |
| Success Rate | 40.3% | 40.0% |
| Pass | 35.1% | 46.7% |
| Rush | 46.7% | 32.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 4.5% | 14.5% |
| Pass | 5.4% | 10.0% |
| Rush | 3.3% | 20.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.27 | 6.40 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.32 | +0.16 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 25.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.6 | 6.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.11 | 3.50 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 43.3% | 44.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 28.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.4% | 16.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 22.8 | 36.6 |
| Plays | 67 | 55 |
| Total Yards | 286 | 352 |
| Total EPA | -20.6 | +0.6 |
| Giveaways | 4 | 0 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
DEN 38%62% BUF
9.6 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS15.6 pts won
Biggest swing · B.Colquitt punts 50 yards to BUF 20. L.McKelvin for 80 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: D.Nelson. L.McKelvin ha… — BUF +5.7
Kickoffs · BUF +2.6Punts · BUF +9.9Kicks · DEN +6.5
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim TebowQB | 37 | 13/29 | 185 | 4.7 | -21.2 | -0.57 | -7.6 | 35% | -0.10 | 1 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim TebowQB | 9 | 35 | 3.9 | +5.6 | +0.63 | 67% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Lance BallRB | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.08 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Willis McGaheeRB | 15 | 64 | 4.3 | -0.6 | -0.04 | 40% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jeremiah JohnsonRB | 6 | 23 | 3.8 | -0.9 | -0.14 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante RosarioTE | 2 | 2 | 46 | 23.0 | +3.1 | +1.55 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Daniel FellsTE | 2 | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | +1.9 | +0.93 | 50% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Jeremiah JohnsonRB | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.7 | +0.84 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Virgil GreenTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.80 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Matt WillisWR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Demaryius ThomasWR | 8 | 4 | 76 | 9.5 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 50% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Willis McGaheeRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.82 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Lance BallRB | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.1 | -1.04 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Eddie RoyalWR | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 | -5.7 | -1.91 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Eric DeckerWR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -10.2 | -2.56 | 0% | -0.10 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | — | — | 2/2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Britton ColquittP | 7 | 306 | 43.7 | 24.4 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt WillisWR | 7 | 138 | 19.7 | 29 | 0 |
| Eddie RoyalWR | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | 17 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie RoyalWR | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 30 | 15/27 | 196 | 7.1 | -0.3 | -0.01 | -8.9 | 47% | -0.05 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 16 | 111 | 6.9 | +4.4 | +0.27 | 38% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +3.1 | +1.57 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tashard ChoiceRB | 9 | 27 | 3.0 | -3.4 | -0.38 | 22% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve JohnsonWR | 7 | 4 | 92 | 13.1 | +3.9 | +0.56 | 57% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Kevin BrockTE | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +1.2 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 3 | 2 | 27 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +0.37 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| David NelsonWR | 5 | 3 | 41 | 8.2 | +0.3 | +0.05 | 40% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.2 | +0.22 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Derek HaganWR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Mike CaussinTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.05 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Scott ChandlerTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.44 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tashard ChoiceRB | 5 | 1 | -8 | -1.6 | -7.4 | -1.47 | 0% | -0.19 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave RaynerK | 4/6(28, 25, 25, 29 · missed 45, 31) | 29 | 4/4 | 9 | 0 | 16 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 4 | 201 | 50.3 | 44.5 | 58 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin RogersDB | 3 | 101 | 33.7 | 40 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 6 | 135 | 22.5 | 80 | 1 |