Patriots
41–23
NE @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Dec 18, 2011 · 2011 Week 15 · Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
NE 59%41% DEN
64.2%GROUND43.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 35 | +0.51 | 51.4% | 5.7% | +17.9 | 7.0 | 69.7% | 62.4% | +7.3 |
| T.Tebow | 30 | +0.10 | 43.3% | 13.3% | +2.9 | 13.4 | 50.0% | 56.7% | -6.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.30 | +0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.51 | +0.08 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.06 | +0.01 |
| Success Rate | 46.7% | 43.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 30.7% | 30.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.03 | 6.55 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.23 | +0.09 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 9.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.15 | 4.95 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.9% | 55.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.6% | 14.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 2.7% | 6.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 36.0 | 18.4 |
| Plays | 75 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 452 | 393 |
| Total EPA | +22.3 | +2.9 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Patriots dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
NE 82%18% DEN
7.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS1.7 pts won
Biggest swing · Z.Mesko punts 39 yards to DEN 12. Q.Cosby MUFFS catch, touched at DEN 17, RECOVERED by NE-D.Fletcher at DEN… — NE +5.2
Kickoffs · NE +1.3Punts · NE +4.4Kicks · NE +0.3
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 35 | 23/33 | 310 | 8.9 | +17.9 | +0.51 | +7.3 | 51% | +0.29 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny WoodheadRB | 7 | 40 | 5.7 | +3.1 | +0.45 | 71% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Aaron HernandezTE | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +1.7 | +1.72 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Stevan RidleyRB | 11 | 65 | 5.9 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 36% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 5 | 3 | 0.6 | -0.4 | -0.07 | 40% | +0.04 | 1 |
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 10 | 17 | 1.7 | -0.6 | -0.06 | 30% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.7 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron HernandezTE | 11 | 9 | 129 | 11.7 | +12.9 | +1.17 | 64% | +0.22 | 1 |
| Chad JohnsonWR | 3 | 1 | 33 | 11.0 | +2.5 | +0.85 | 33% | +0.05 | 1 |
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | +2.3 | +1.13 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 6 | 4 | 41 | 6.8 | +2.1 | +0.35 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.4 | +1.45 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 5 | 4 | 53 | 10.6 | +1.2 | +0.24 | 40% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Tiquan UnderwoodWR | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.7 | +0.36 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | -0.7 | -0.74 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 2/2(21, 34) | 34 | 5/5 | 7 | 3 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoltan MeskoP | 4 | 162 | 40.5 | 39.5 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | 14 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim TebowQB | 30 | 11/22 | 189 | 6.3 | +2.9 | +0.10 | -6.7 | 43% | +0.18 | 0 | 0 |
| Demaryius ThomasWR | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | -65.3 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willis McGaheeRB | 7 | 70 | 10.0 | +3.2 | +0.46 | 57% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jeremiah JohnsonRB | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | +1.4 | +1.42 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tim TebowQB | 8 | 45 | 5.6 | -1.5 | -0.19 | 38% | -0.13 | 2 |
| Lance BallRB | 11 | 64 | 5.8 | -2.1 | -0.19 | 36% | -0.19 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demaryius ThomasWR | 13 | 7 | 116 | 8.9 | +6.3 | +0.49 | 46% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Lance BallRB | 4 | 2 | 41 | 10.3 | +2.5 | +0.63 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Eric DeckerWR | 2 | 1 | 22 | 11.0 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Matt WillisWR | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7.5 | -0.8 | -0.41 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Eddie RoyalWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -0.58 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 1/1(26) | 26 | 2/2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Britton ColquittP | 3 | 165 | 55.0 | 47.3 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quan CosbyWR | 4 | 71 | 17.8 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie RoyalWR | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | 0 |
| Quan CosbyWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |