Patriots
31–34
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 25, 2011 · 2011 Week 3 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 56%44% BUF
58.6%GROUND46.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 46 | +0.28 | 65.2% | 0.0% | +12.9 | 9.1 | 66.7% | 57.7% | +9.0 |
| R.Fitzpatrick | 40 | +0.23 | 47.5% | 0.0% | +9.4 | 9.3 | 67.5% | 58.8% | +8.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.12 | +0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.28 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.12 | -0.09 |
| Success Rate | 53.4% | 44.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 32.9% | 27.7% |
| Yards / Play | 6.78 | 6.91 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.01 | +0.21 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.5% | 30.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.1 | 7.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.26 | 2.99 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 44.0% | 36.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 26.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.3% | 13.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.6 | 19.5 |
| Plays | 73 | 65 |
| Total Yards | 495 | 449 |
| Total EPA | +8.9 | +8.1 |
| Giveaways | 4 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NE 52%48% BUF
3.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.6 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Gostkowski kicks 73 yards from NE 35 to BUF -8. C.Spiller to BUF 16 for 24 yards. Return credited to BUF… — NE +1.1
Kickoffs · NE +1.3Punts · BUF +0.2Kicks · BUF +0.9
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 46 | 30/45 | 392 | 8.5 | +12.9 | +0.28 | +9.0 | 65% | +0.40 | 4 | 4 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevan RidleyRB | 6 | 42 | 7.0 | +2.2 | +0.36 | 83% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | +1.3 | +1.26 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -1.0 | -0.50 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 6 | 21 | 3.5 | -1.3 | -0.21 | 17% | -0.01 | 0 |
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 10 | 18 | 1.8 | -2.7 | -0.27 | 10% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 20 | 16 | 217 | 10.8 | +25.5 | +1.27 | 80% | +0.89 | 2 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 9 | 7 | 109 | 12.1 | +6.5 | +0.73 | 78% | +0.05 | 2 |
| Stevan RidleyRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Deion BranchWR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.4 | -0.81 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 5 | 3 | 20 | 4.0 | -4.7 | -0.95 | 40% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Chad JohnsonWR | 4 | 2 | 28 | 7.0 | -4.9 | -1.23 | 50% | -0.13 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1.7 | -8.9 | -2.96 | 33% | -0.33 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 1/1(23) | 23 | 4/4 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoltan MeskoP | 3 | 140 | 46.7 | 40.0 | 57 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 3 | 63 | 21.0 | 29 | 0 |
| Rob NinkovichOLB | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 10 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 18 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 40 | 27/40 | 369 | 9.2 | +9.4 | +0.23 | +8.7 | 48% | +0.18 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred JacksonRB | 12 | 74 | 6.2 | +2.8 | +0.24 | 58% | +0.09 | 1 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.31 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Donald JonesWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.22 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 3 | -5 | -1.7 | -1.5 | -0.50 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve JohnsonWR | 10 | 8 | 94 | 9.4 | +7.1 | +0.71 | 60% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 6 | 5 | 87 | 14.5 | +4.2 | +0.71 | 50% | +0.23 | 0 |
| David NelsonWR | 8 | 6 | 84 | 10.5 | +2.1 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Scott ChandlerTE | 3 | 2 | 10 | 3.3 | +1.9 | +0.64 | 67% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Naaman RooseveltWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.12 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.77 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 1 | 1 | -7 | -7.0 | -1.4 | -1.37 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Donald JonesWR | 10 | 5 | 101 | 10.1 | -3.7 | -0.37 | 40% | -0.09 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 2/2(42, 28) | 42 | 4/4 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 5 | 253 | 50.6 | 44.4 | 63 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 10 | 0 |