Patriots
34–3
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 26, 2010 · 2010 Week 16 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 56%44% BUF
50.4%GROUND40.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 30 | -0.01 | 33.3% | 3.3% | -0.4 | 8.3 | 55.6% | 62.8% | -7.2 |
| R.Fitzpatrick | 41 | -0.59 | 34.2% | 7.3% | -24.2 | 11.6 | 48.6% | 53.4% | -4.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.13 | -0.42 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.04 | -0.59 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.34 | -0.12 |
| Success Rate | 50.0% | 38.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 32.4% | 17.7% |
| Yards / Play | 5.16 | 5.95 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.12 | -0.36 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 47.1% | 35.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.1 | 5.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.55 | 4.63 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 71.4% | 63.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.8% | 22.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 42.0 | 23.1 |
| Plays | 68 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 351 | 369 |
| Total EPA | +9.1 | -25.8 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 6 |
Special Teams
Patriots dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
NE 83%17% BUF
9.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS1.9 pts won
Biggest swing · Z.Mesko punts 43 yards to BUF 36. C.Spiller MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by NE-S.Brown at BUF 36. S.Brown to BUF… — NE +5.3
Kickoffs · evenPunts · NE +7.0Kicks · NE +0.5
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 30 | 15/27 | 141 | 4.7 | -0.4 | -0.01 | -7.2 | 33% | +0.07 | 3 | 0 |
| Brian HoyerQB | 1 | 0/0 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.7 | -0.74 | — | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 19 | 104 | 5.5 | +6.9 | +0.36 | 74% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 13 | 93 | 7.2 | +4.5 | +0.35 | 62% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.8 | +0.82 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Brandon TateWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.6 | +0.64 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -0.9 | -0.92 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 7 | 4 | 54 | 7.7 | +6.0 | +0.86 | 57% | +0.07 | 2 |
| Alge CrumplerTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +1.6 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Deion BranchWR | 5 | 2 | 25 | 5.0 | +0.8 | +0.15 | 40% | +0.01 | 0 |
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.23 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.69 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 4 | 3 | 32 | 8.0 | -1.3 | -0.33 | 25% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 6 | 3 | 19 | 3.2 | -2.7 | -0.45 | 17% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Brandon TateWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.7 | -2.73 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne GrahamK | 2/2(34, 26) | 34 | 4/4 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoltan MeskoP | 5 | 206 | 41.2 | 41.2 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 23 | 0 |
| Brandon TateWR | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian EdelmanWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 41 | 18/37 | 258 | 6.3 | -24.2 | -0.59 | -4.8 | 34% | +0.62 | 0 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred JacksonRB | 13 | 81 | 6.2 | +2.3 | +0.17 | 46% | +0.04 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 6 | 30 | 5.0 | -4.5 | -0.74 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 3 | 2 | 54 | 18.0 | +3.4 | +1.12 | 67% | +0.12 | 0 |
| David NelsonWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 3 | 2 | 11 | 3.7 | -0.5 | -0.17 | 33% | +0.87 | 0 |
| Naaman RooseveltWR | 8 | 4 | 74 | 9.3 | -0.9 | -0.11 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Steve JohnsonWR | 10 | 5 | 58 | 5.8 | -6.0 | -0.60 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Donald JonesWR | 12 | 5 | 54 | 4.5 | -10.3 | -0.86 | 17% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/1(26) | 26 | — | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 2 | 68 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 36 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 5 | 84 | 16.8 | 22 | 0 |
| Naaman RooseveltWR | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | 16 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 3 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |