Bills
30–38
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Sep 26, 2010 · 2010 Week 3 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
BUF 52%48% NE
63.2%GROUND58.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.Fitzpatrick | 32 | +0.25 | 59.4% | 3.1% | +7.9 | 8.8 | 71.4% | 61.2% | +10.2 |
| T.Brady | 29 | +0.41 | 55.2% | 3.5% | +11.8 | 9.9 | 77.8% | 63.6% | +14.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.28 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.25 | +0.41 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | +0.20 |
| Success Rate | 55.6% | 52.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.6% | 29.8% |
| Yards / Play | 6.93 | 6.69 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.04 | +0.19 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 66.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 8.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.12 | 4.28 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 57.1% | 58.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.1% | 8.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 34.2 | 30.4 |
| Plays | 54 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 374 | 448 |
| Total EPA | +10.0 | +18.8 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
BUF 58%42% NE
10.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.3 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Gostkowski kicks 65 yards from NE 30 to BUF 5. C.Spiller for 95 yards, TOUCHDOWN — BUF +5.9
Kickoffs · BUF +4.0Punts · BUF +1.0Kicks · NE +2.2
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 32 | 20/28 | 258 | 8.1 | +7.9 | +0.25 | +10.2 | 59% | +0.11 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn LynchRB | 13 | 79 | 6.1 | +2.6 | +0.20 | 62% | +0.08 | 0 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | +1.4 | +0.34 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | -0.9 | -0.23 | 25% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve JohnsonWR | 4 | 3 | 66 | 16.5 | +6.2 | +1.54 | 75% | +0.03 | 1 |
| C.J. SpillerRB | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | +2.6 | +0.88 | 67% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 6 | 5 | 83 | 13.8 | +1.8 | +0.30 | 83% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 8 | 5 | 54 | 6.8 | +1.1 | +0.14 | 63% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jonathan StuparTE | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +0.35 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Marshawn LynchRB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.44 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Corey McIntyreFB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.86 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| David NelsonWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -3.0 | -1.51 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 3/4(39, 39, 34 · missed 51) | 39 | 3/3 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 1 | 33 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. SpillerRB | 5 | 189 | 37.8 | 95 | 1 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drayton FlorenceCB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | 0 |
| Bryan ScottLB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 29 | 21/27 | 254 | 8.8 | +11.8 | +0.41 | +14.2 | 55% | +0.40 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 16 | 98 | 6.1 | +5.2 | +0.32 | 75% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Danny WoodheadRB | 3 | 42 | 14.0 | +4.9 | +1.65 | 67% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Aaron HernandezTE | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.1 | +1.08 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brandon TateWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.12 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.3 | -0.32 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | -1.2 | -0.20 | 17% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 6 | 16 | 2.7 | -1.7 | -0.28 | 17% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy MossWR | 3 | 2 | 42 | 14.0 | +5.3 | +1.77 | 67% | +0.17 | 2 |
| Rob GronkowskiTE | 3 | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | +5.3 | +1.75 | 100% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Aaron HernandezTE | 7 | 6 | 65 | 9.3 | +1.9 | +0.28 | 57% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 6 | 4 | 45 | 7.5 | +1.4 | +0.23 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.6 | +0.58 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Matthew SlaterWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.77 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -0.9 | -0.31 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Brandon TateWR | 3 | 2 | 43 | 14.3 | -1.7 | -0.57 | 33% | -0.08 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 1/1(43) | 43 | 5/5 | 6 | 1 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoltan MeskoP | 3 | 113 | 37.7 | 34.7 | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon TateWR | 6 | 141 | 23.5 | 32 | 0 |
| BenJarvus Green-EllisRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |