Patriots
17–10
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 20, 2009 · 2009 Week 15 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 44%56% BUF
30.1%GROUND38.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 23 | -0.21 | -4.7 | 11.9 | 47.8% | 57.4% | -9.6 |
| R.Fitzpatrick | 30 | -0.11 | -3.3 | 6.5 | 68.0% | 65.2% | +2.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.07 | -0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.21 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.08 | -0.04 |
| Success Rate | 47.5% | 41.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.7% | 16.7% |
| Yards / Play | 3.85 | 4.02 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.12 | -0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.5% | 31.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.8 | 8.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.88 | 3.71 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 54.8% | 56.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.6% | 4.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.6% | 8.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.7 | 37.2 |
| Plays | 59 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 227 | 241 |
| Total EPA | +3.9 | -7.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 23 | 11/23 | 115 | 5.0 | -4.7 | -0.20 | -9.6 | 35% | +0.01 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +1.1 | +1.06 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 23 | 81 | 3.5 | +1.0 | +0.04 | 44% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.34 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Matthew SlaterWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.26 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | +0.3 | +0.06 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy MossWR | 7 | 5 | 70 | 10.0 | +5.0 | +0.71 | 71% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.8 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Sam AikenWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 11 | 4 | 40 | 3.6 | -7.0 | -0.64 | 27% | -0.10 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent EdwardsQB | 3 | 1/2 | -10 | -3.3 | -3.1 | -1.02 | -24.7 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 30 | 17/25 | 146 | 4.9 | -3.4 | -0.11 | +2.8 | 50% | -0.15 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn LynchRB | 8 | 25 | 3.1 | +1.0 | +0.13 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 15 | 80 | 5.3 | +0.3 | +0.02 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell OwensWR | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +1.4 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 6 | 3 | 35 | 5.8 | +0.9 | +0.15 | 50% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 8 | 4 | 63 | 7.9 | -0.6 | -0.07 | 50% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Shawn NelsonTE | 5 | 4 | 17 | 3.4 | -0.7 | -0.13 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 5 | 4 | 32 | 6.4 | -1.1 | -0.21 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |