Patriots
17–10
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 20, 2009 · 2009 Week 15 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Bills had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 45%55% BUF
30.3%GROUND37.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 23 | -0.21 | 34.8% | 0.0% | -4.7 | 11.9 | 47.8% | 57.4% | -9.6 |
| R.Fitzpatrick | 30 | -0.11 | 50.0% | 16.7% | -3.3 | 6.5 | 68.0% | 65.2% | +2.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  NE |  BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.04 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.21 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.08 | +0.06 |
| Success Rate | 44.4% | 42.9% |
| Pass | 34.8% | 45.5% |
| Rush | 51.6% | 39.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 3.7% | 7.1% |
| Pass | 0.0% | 3.0% |
| Rush | 6.5% | 13.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.00 | +0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.5% | 26.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.8 | 9.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.88 | 3.71 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 54.8% | 56.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.6% | 4.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.8% | 8.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.2 | 36.2 |
| Plays | 54 | 56 |
| Total Yards | 227 | 241 |
| Total EPA | -2.1 | -5.1 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NE 31%69% BUF
2.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.5 pts won
Biggest swing · C.Hanson punts 38 yards to NE 48. R.Parrish to NE 28 for 20 yards — BUF +1.3
Kickoffs · BUF +2.0Punts · BUF +1.6Kicks · NE +0.6
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 23 | 11/23 | 115 | 5.0 | -4.7 | -0.20 | -9.6 | 35% | +0.01 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +1.1 | +1.06 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 23 | 81 | 3.5 | +1.0 | +0.04 | 44% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.34 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Matthew SlaterWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.26 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | +0.3 | +0.06 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy MossWR | 7 | 5 | 70 | 10.0 | +5.0 | +0.71 | 71% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.33 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.8 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Sam AikenWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.5 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 11 | 4 | 40 | 3.6 | -7.0 | -0.64 | 27% | -0.10 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 1/1(30) | 30 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris HansonP | 5 | 169 | 33.8 | 29.8 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
| Matthew SlaterWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 7 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 11 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent EdwardsQB | 3 | 1/2 | -1 | -3.3 | -3.1 | -1.02 | -24.7 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 | 0 |
| Ryan FitzpatrickQB | 30 | 17/25 | 178 | 4.9 | -3.4 | -0.11 | +2.8 | 50% | -0.15 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn LynchRB | 8 | 25 | 3.1 | +1.0 | +0.13 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 15 | 80 | 5.3 | +0.3 | +0.02 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrell OwensWR | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +1.4 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 6 | 3 | 35 | 5.8 | +0.9 | +0.15 | 50% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 8 | 4 | 63 | 7.9 | -0.6 | -0.07 | 50% | -0.08 | 0 |
| Shawn NelsonTE | 5 | 4 | 17 | 3.4 | -0.7 | -0.13 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 5 | 4 | 32 | 6.4 | -1.1 | -0.21 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/2(25 · missed 56) | 25 | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 5 | 190 | 38.0 | 34.6 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred JacksonRB | 4 | 108 | 27.0 | 41 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |