Patriots
17–20
NE @ DEN
Broncos
Final/OT · Sun, Oct 11, 2009 · 2009 Week 5 · Invesco Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Broncos had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 47%53% DEN
42.4%GROUND47.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 34 | +0.13 | +4.4 | 8.1 | 57.6% | 64.6% | -7.0 |
| K.Orton | 50 | +0.24 | +11.8 | 7.4 | 72.9% | 65.0% | +8.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.03 | +0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.13 | +0.24 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.23 | -0.21 |
| Success Rate | 41.7% | 49.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.7% | 28.6% |
| Yards / Play | 5.10 | 5.51 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.01 | +0.14 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 35.7% | 40.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.4 | 4.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.04 | 3.23 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 34.6% | 48.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 19.2% | 24.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.7% | 15.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.9 | 25.7 |
| Plays | 60 | 77 |
| Total Yards | 306 | 424 |
| Total EPA | -1.7 | +7.1 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 34 | 19/33 | 209 | 6.2 | +4.4 | +0.13 | -7.0 | 47% | -0.09 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 5 | 21 | 4.2 | +0.6 | +0.13 | 60% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 17 | 68 | 4.0 | -2.8 | -0.17 | 35% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | -3.9 | -0.96 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +3.9 | +1.96 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 15 | 8 | 86 | 5.7 | +1.9 | +0.13 | 53% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 3 | 2 | 39 | 13.0 | +1.9 | +0.62 | 33% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Julian EdelmanWR | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | +1.8 | +0.59 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +0.7 | +0.24 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Randy MossWR | 4 | 1 | 36 | 9.0 | -0.1 | -0.01 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Michael MatthewsTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.87 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Chris BakerTE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -0.56 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle OrtonQB | 50 | 35/48 | 321 | 6.4 | +11.8 | +0.24 | +8.0 | 58% | +0.37 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon MarshallWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.24 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| LaMont JordanRB | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.8 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Knowshon MorenoRB | 21 | 88 | 4.2 | -3.6 | -0.17 | 33% | +0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie RoyalWR | 15 | 10 | 90 | 6.0 | +6.7 | +0.44 | 73% | +0.27 | 0 |
| Jabar GaffneyWR | 8 | 6 | 61 | 7.6 | +4.6 | +0.57 | 63% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Brandon MarshallWR | 11 | 8 | 64 | 5.8 | +4.4 | +0.40 | 46% | +0.21 | 2 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 3 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | +1.8 | +0.60 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Tony SchefflerTE | 5 | 4 | 45 | 9.0 | +1.8 | +0.36 | 80% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Brandon StokleyWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.62 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Knowshon MorenoRB | 5 | 4 | 36 | 7.2 | -3.7 | -0.74 | 40% | -0.09 | 0 |