Patriots
13–0
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Dec 28, 2008 · 2008 Week 17 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 53%47% BUF
47.0%GROUND41.7%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Cassel | 11 | +0.83 | 63.6% | 9.1% | +9.1 | 6.1 | 75.0% | 63.2% | +11.8 |
| T.Edwards | 31 | -0.28 | 38.7% | 6.5% | -8.6 | 6.1 | 56.0% | 63.9% | -7.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.07 | -0.21 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.83 | -0.28 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.11 | -0.19 |
| Success Rate | 44.6% | 37.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.6% | 17.2% |
| Yards / Play | 4.30 | 4.31 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.05 | -0.21 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.5% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.7 | 5.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.84 | 3.42 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 42.2% | 32.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 17.8% | 19.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 8.9% | 4.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.9 | 26.4 |
| Plays | 56 | 64 |
| Total Yards | 241 | 276 |
| Total EPA | +4.2 | -13.3 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NE 51%49% BUF
8.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.8 pts won
Biggest swing · Temporary delay to re-align goalposts. S.Gostkowski 26 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — BUF +3.5
Kickoffs · BUF +0.7Punts · NE +0.9Kicks · NE +0.2
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt CasselQB | 11 | 6/8 | 86 | 7.8 | +9.1 | +0.83 | +11.8 | 64% | +0.17 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt CasselQB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +2.1 | +2.12 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 24 | 85 | 3.5 | -2.9 | -0.12 | 38% | -0.10 | 0 |
| LaMont JordanRB | 20 | 64 | 3.2 | -4.2 | -0.21 | 40% | -0.03 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +5.0 | +2.49 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Heath EvansFB | 2 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | +2.7 | +1.35 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.8 | +1.76 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Randy MossWR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.1 | +1.15 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 2/3(33, 23 · missed 26) | 33 | 1/1 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris HansonP | 3 | 135 | 45.0 | 28.3 | 48 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Matt CasselQB | 1 | 57 | 57.0 | 57.0 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent EdwardsQB | 31 | 14/25 | 135 | 4.3 | -8.6 | -0.28 | -7.9 | 39% | -0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred JacksonRB | 27 | 136 | 5.0 | -2.9 | -0.11 | 37% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Xavier OmonRB | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | -2.9 | -0.73 | 25% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee EvansWR | 5 | 5 | 63 | 12.6 | +3.0 | +0.59 | 80% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Robert RoyalTE | 2 | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | +2.8 | +1.38 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +1.1 | +0.55 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Derek FineTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +0.3 | +0.13 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Derek SchoumanTE | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.25 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.59 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 0/1(missed 47) | — | — | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 3 | 93 | 31.0 | 31.0 | 45 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer JohnsonDT | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 19 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 10 | 0 |
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 5 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred JacksonRB | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | 30 | 0 |