Bills
30–23
BUF @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Sun, Dec 21, 2008 · 2008 Week 16 · Invesco Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Broncos controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
BUF 37%63% DEN
46.6%GROUND79.2%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Edwards | 27 | +0.40 | 55.6% | 3.7% | +10.8 | 5.4 | 68.0% | 64.4% | +3.6 |
| J.Cutler | 49 | +0.15 | 49.0% | 2.0% | +7.5 | 12.5 | 55.6% | 56.9% | -1.4 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.25 | +0.18 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.40 | +0.15 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.03 | +0.20 |
| Success Rate | 53.8% | 48.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.0% | 31.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.31 | 7.20 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.23 | +0.20 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 46.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.9 | 9.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.64 | 4.46 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.7% | 43.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.8% | 17.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.6% | 18.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 34.2 | 25.2 |
| Plays | 52 | 74 |
| Total Yards | 276 | 533 |
| Total EPA | +13.1 | +13.2 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Bills dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
BUF 86%14% DEN
13.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.3 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Prater 54 yard field goal is No Good, Short — BUF +3.1
Kickoffs · BUF +4.9Punts · BUF +2.4Kicks · BUF +4.0
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent EdwardsQB | 27 | 17/25 | 199 | 7.4 | +10.8 | +0.40 | +3.6 | 56% | +0.43 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn LynchRB | 11 | 34 | 3.1 | +1.6 | +0.14 | 64% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 10 | 43 | 4.3 | +1.0 | +0.10 | 50% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Xavier OmonRB | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -0.71 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred JacksonRB | 3 | 3 | 70 | 23.3 | +5.4 | +1.81 | 67% | +0.25 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 9 | 9 | 79 | 8.8 | +4.0 | +0.45 | 78% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +3.2 | +3.24 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Steve JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +2.5 | +2.53 | 100% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Lee EvansWR | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.5 | +0.74 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Robert RoyalTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +0.36 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 3/3(37, 49, 28) | 49 | 3/3 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 3 | 158 | 52.7 | 52.0 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leodis McKelvinCB | 4 | 88 | 22.0 | 31 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 2 | 47 | 23.5 | 30 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay CutlerQB | 49 | 25/45 | 374 | 7.6 | +7.5 | +0.15 | -1.4 | 49% | +0.15 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie RoyalWR | 1 | 71 | 71.0 | +4.3 | +4.29 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| P.J. PopeRB | 6 | 44 | 7.3 | +2.8 | +0.47 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Jay CutlerQB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | +1.5 | +0.37 | 75% | +0.05 | 2 |
| Tatum BellRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | -0.7 | -0.15 | 20% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Selvin YoungRB | 7 | 16 | 2.3 | -2.0 | -0.28 | 29% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie RoyalWR | 5 | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | +6.2 | +1.24 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 3 | 3 | 52 | 17.3 | +4.8 | +1.59 | 100% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Brandon MarshallWR | 10 | 10 | 129 | 12.9 | +4.8 | +0.47 | 80% | +0.21 | 0 |
| Brandon StokleyWR | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +3.7 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Tony SchefflerTE | 2 | 2 | 56 | 28.0 | +3.5 | +1.78 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Darrell JacksonWR | 1 | 1 | 30 | 30.0 | +1.9 | +1.90 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Tatum BellRB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.38 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt PraterK | 3/4(23, 30, 43 · missed 54) | 43 | 2/2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Selvin YoungRB | 5 | 106 | 21.2 | 26 | 0 |
| Jeb PutzierTE | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie RoyalWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |