Jaguars
20–31
JAX @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sat, Jan 12, 2008 · 2007 Divisional Round · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
JAX 39%61% NE
53.3%GROUND82.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Garrard | 34 | +0.46 | +15.5 | 7.8 | 66.7% | 55.6% | +11.1 |
| T.Brady | 29 | +0.77 | +22.3 | 4.2 | 92.9% | 67.9% | +25.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.28 | +0.40 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.45 | +0.73 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.01 | +0.09 |
| Success Rate | 44.6% | 60.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 30.4% | 31.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.25 | 6.97 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.14 | +0.33 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 46.2% | 63.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.77 | 3.79 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 51.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 22.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.5% | 5.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 18.0 | 29.9 |
| Plays | 56 | 58 |
| Total Yards | 350 | 404 |
| Total EPA | +15.8 | +23.1 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GarrardQB | 36 | 22/33 | 283 | 7.9 | +16.1 | +0.45 | +11.1 | 53% | +0.29 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred TaylorRB | 13 | 47 | 3.6 | +1.1 | +0.08 | 39% | -0.04 | 0 |
| David GarrardQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | -0.9 | -0.14 | 17% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcedes LewisTE | 4 | 4 | 74 | 18.5 | +7.4 | +1.85 | 75% | +0.26 | 0 |
| Matt JonesWR | 3 | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | +7.4 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.20 | 1 |
| Dennis NorthcuttWR | 4 | 4 | 42 | 10.5 | +5.9 | +1.47 | 75% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Ernest WilfordWR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +4.9 | +2.46 | 100% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 6 | 6 | 49 | 8.2 | +2.0 | +0.33 | 83% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Reggie WilliamsWR | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | +1.8 | +1.81 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Isaac SmolkoTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.3 | +0.31 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Greg JonesFB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 30 | 26/28 | 260 | 8.7 | +21.8 | +0.73 | +25.0 | 73% | +0.58 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 22 | 122 | 5.5 | +3.5 | +0.16 | 46% | +0.19 | 1 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.0 | +0.98 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | -1.9 | -0.47 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donte' StallworthWR | 3 | 3 | 68 | 22.7 | +4.9 | +1.62 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +3.7 | +1.85 | 100% | +0.11 | 2 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 9 | 9 | 54 | 6.0 | +3.6 | +0.41 | 56% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Randy MossWR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +3.6 | +3.57 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 2 | 2 | 40 | 20.0 | +3.5 | +1.74 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Jabar GaffneyWR | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +3.4 | +1.12 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 5 | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | +2.5 | +0.50 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Kyle BradyTE | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.8 | +0.78 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |