Jaguars
31–29
JAX @ PIT
Steelers
Final · Sat, Jan 5, 2008 · 2007 Wild Card · Heinz Field
Ground Share
Steelers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
JAX 46%54% PIT
32.1%GROUND38.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Garrard | 29 | -0.04 | 37.9% | 13.8% | -1.1 | 11.1 | 42.9% | 56.8% | -13.9 |
| B.Roethlisberger | 50 | -0.01 | 54.0% | 12.0% | -0.4 | 7.8 | 69.0% | 65.3% | +3.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.06 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.04 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.07 | -0.24 |
| Success Rate | 34.5% | 48.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.3% | 18.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.36 | 4.47 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.25 | -0.29 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 41.7% | 56.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.8 | 7.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.64 | 1.06 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.5% | 20.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 12.5% | 37.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.9% | 21.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 37.7 | 31.9 |
| Plays | 55 | 76 |
| Total Yards | 240 | 340 |
| Total EPA | -3.0 | -3.9 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 4 |
Special Teams
Jaguars had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
JAX 63%37% PIT
9.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.5 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Reed kicks 67 yards from PIT 30 to JAX 3. M.Jones-Drew to PIT 1 for 96 yards — JAX +4.5
Kickoffs · JAX +5.3Punts · JAX +1.6Kicks · PIT +3.1
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GarrardQB | 29 | 9/21 | 163 | 5.6 | -1.1 | -0.04 | -13.9 | 38% | -0.06 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | +0.7 | +0.09 | 38% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 16 | 48 | 3.0 | -2.5 | -0.16 | 25% | -0.06 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 1 | 1 | 43 | 43.0 | +5.5 | +5.52 | 100% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Ernest WilfordWR | 2 | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | +2.5 | +1.27 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Dennis NorthcuttWR | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +2.5 | +2.45 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Marcedes LewisTE | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.6 | +0.31 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Reggie WilliamsWR | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +0.6 | +0.29 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ScobeeK | 1/2(25 · missed 46) | 25 | 4/4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam PodleshP | 4 | 200 | 50.0 | 43.0 | 54 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 1 | 96 | 96.0 | 96 | 0 |
| Scott StarksDB | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | 15 | 0 |
| Montell OwensRB | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | 12 | 0 |
| Greg JonesFB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis NorthcuttWR | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | 16 | 0 |
PIT
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben RoethlisbergerQB | 50 | 29/42 | 307 | 6.1 | -0.4 | -0.01 | +3.7 | 54% | -0.33 | 2 | 3 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben RoethlisbergerQB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Carey DavisRB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | -1.3 | -0.42 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Gary RussellRB | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | -1.8 | -0.60 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Najeh DavenportRB | 16 | 25 | 1.6 | -2.6 | -0.16 | 44% | -0.07 | 2 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hines WardWR | 10 | 10 | 135 | 13.5 | +9.5 | +0.95 | 90% | +0.25 | 0 |
| Heath MillerTE | 8 | 8 | 85 | 10.6 | +8.8 | +1.10 | 88% | +0.17 | 1 |
| Santonio HolmesWR | 3 | 3 | 49 | 16.3 | +6.8 | +2.26 | 67% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Carey DavisRB | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +1.1 | +0.57 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Cedrick WilsonWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.8 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Matt SpaethTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.8 | +0.75 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Nate WashingtonWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.6 | +0.57 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Gary RussellRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.5 | +0.49 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Najeh DavenportRB | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff ReedK | 1/1(28) | 28 | 2/2 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel SepulvedaP | 4 | 177 | 44.3 | 36.5 | 48 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Najeh DavenportRB | 5 | 83 | 16.6 | 20 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cedrick WilsonWR | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | 8 | 0 |