Panthers
31–23
CAR @ TB
Buccaneers
Final · Sun, Dec 30, 2007 · 2007 Week 17 · Raymond James Stadium
Ground Share
Panthers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
CAR 54%46% TB
50.1%GROUND42.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M.Moore | 25 | +0.22 | 44.0% | 4.0% | +5.5 | 10.3 | 62.5% | 56.8% | +5.8 |
| L.McCown | 36 | +0.05 | 47.2% | 11.1% | +1.7 | 8.0 | 75.0% | 62.1% | +12.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | TB |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.14 | -0.01 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.22 | +0.05 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.08 | -0.18 |
| Success Rate | 44.3% | 41.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 29.5% | 25.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.74 | 5.24 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.17 | +0.12 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 30.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.6 | 6.0 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.75 | 2.28 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 47.2% | 23.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 14.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 6.6% | 10.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.1 | 35.5 |
| Plays | 61 | 58 |
| Total Yards | 350 | 304 |
| Total EPA | +8.5 | -0.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
CAR 45%55% TB
8.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS10.1 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Bidwell punts 60 yards to CAR 15. R.Robinson to CAR 16 for 1 yard. FUMBLES, touched at CAR 17, RECOVERED… — TB +6.5
Kickoffs · CAR +5.4Punts · TB +5.2Kicks · TB +2.1
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt MooreQB | 25 | 15/24 | 169 | 6.8 | +5.5 | +0.22 | +5.7 | 44% | +0.27 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAngelo WilliamsRB | 20 | 121 | 6.0 | +5.5 | +0.27 | 45% | +0.30 | 2 |
| Dwayne JarrettWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.0 | +1.02 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Brad HooverFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.6 | +0.57 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| DeShaun FosterRB | 11 | 46 | 4.2 | -0.7 | -0.06 | 46% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Alex HaynesRB | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Matt MooreQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.5 | -2.53 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew CarterWR | 2 | 2 | 59 | 29.5 | +5.8 | +2.88 | 100% | +0.23 | 0 |
| Steve SmithWR | 5 | 5 | 48 | 9.6 | +5.1 | +1.02 | 80% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Dante RosarioTE | 3 | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | +4.4 | +1.47 | 67% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +1.3 | +1.34 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
| DeShaun FosterRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.8 | +0.75 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Brad HooverFB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.7 | +0.69 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Jeff KingTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -0.16 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Ryne RobinsonWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John KasayK | 1/1(19) | 19 | 4/4 | — | — | 7 |
| Rhys LloydK | — | — | — | 6 | 2 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason BakerP | 4 | 184 | 46.0 | 42.3 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne RobinsonWR | 3 | 103 | 34.3 | 60 | 0 |
| Kindal MooreheadDT | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | 14 | 0 |
| Jeff KingTE | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryne RobinsonWR | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | 19 | 0 |
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke McCownQB | 36 | 21/28 | 244 | 6.8 | +1.7 | +0.05 | +12.9 | 47% | -0.06 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth DarbyRB | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.4 | +0.18 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | +0.2 | +0.06 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Michael BennettRB | 15 | 39 | 2.6 | -4.3 | -0.29 | 20% | -0.15 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerramy StevensTE | 4 | 4 | 30 | 7.5 | +5.2 | +1.30 | 75% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Chad LucasWR | 5 | 5 | 82 | 16.4 | +4.2 | +0.83 | 80% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Michael ClaytonWR | 5 | 5 | 60 | 12.0 | +2.6 | +0.52 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael BennettRB | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | +2.4 | +1.19 | 50% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Alex SmithTE | 2 | 1 | 18 | 9.0 | +1.1 | +0.57 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kenneth DarbyRB | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.9 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Anthony BechtTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.66 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.30 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt BryantK | 3/3(31, 23, 49) | 49 | 2/2 | 6 | 0 | 11 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh BidwellP | 4 | 189 | 47.3 | 42.3 | 60 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheal SpurlockWR | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | 29 | 0 |
| Kenneth DarbyRB | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | 14 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheal SpurlockWR | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 15 | 0 |