Buccaneers
19–21
TB @ SF
49ers
Final · Sun, Dec 23, 2007 · 2007 Week 16 · Monster Park
Ground Share
Buccaneers controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
TB 66%34% SF
44.2%GROUND23.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.McCown | 36 | -0.11 | 38.9% | 5.6% | -4.0 | 5.3 | 58.3% | 58.0% | +0.4 |
| S.Hill | 28 | -0.29 | 35.7% | 7.1% | -8.2 | 3.0 | 52.6% | 58.5% | -5.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | SF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.04 | -0.15 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.09 | -0.29 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.34 | -0.04 |
| Success Rate | 34.2% | 36.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.7% | 21.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.29 | 4.17 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 34.8% | 30.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.2 | 5.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.06 | 3.54 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 27.3% | 47.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 36.4% | 4.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.2% | 7.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.9 | 32.9 |
| Plays | 82 | 52 |
| Total Yards | 434 | 217 |
| Total EPA | -3.4 | -8.0 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 2 |
Special Teams
49ers won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
TB 31%69% SF
5.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS11.5 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Nedney kicks onside 13 yards from SF 30 to SF 43. RECOVERED by SF-D.Walker — SF +4.1
Kickoffs · SF +5.4Punts · SF +1.5Kicks · TB +0.5
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff GarciaQB | 22 | 12/20 | 190 | 8.6 | +8.9 | +0.41 | +8.5 | 46% | +0.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke McCownQB | 36 | 18/32 | 194 | 5.4 | -4.0 | -0.11 | +0.4 | 39% | -0.35 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff GarciaQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -1.18 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Michael BennettRB | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | -1.4 | -0.27 | 40% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Earnest GrahamRB | 9 | 21 | 2.3 | -1.7 | -0.19 | 11% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 7 | 13 | 1.9 | -3.2 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.15 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerramy StevensTE | 4 | 4 | 73 | 18.3 | +9.6 | +2.39 | 100% | +0.23 | 2 |
| Ike HilliardWR | 3 | 3 | 50 | 16.7 | +6.2 | +2.05 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Alex SmithTE | 6 | 6 | 79 | 13.2 | +5.8 | +0.97 | 83% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 7 | 7 | 54 | 7.7 | +4.4 | +0.63 | 57% | +0.20 | 0 |
| Michael ClaytonWR | 5 | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | +4.0 | +0.80 | 60% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Joey GallowayWR | 1 | 1 | 29 | 29.0 | +2.4 | +2.39 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Michael BennettRB | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +1.1 | +0.58 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Earnest GrahamRB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | -0.5 | -0.23 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt BryantK | 2/2(34, 22) | 34 | 1/1 | 5 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh BidwellP | 6 | 282 | 47.0 | 41.0 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheal SpurlockWR | 3 | 68 | 22.7 | 30 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micheal SpurlockWR | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 13 | 0 |
| Phillip BuchanonDB | 4 | 0 | 0.0 | 5 | 0 |
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaun HillQB | 28 | 11/24 | 119 | 4.3 | -8.2 | -0.29 | -5.9 | 36% | -0.31 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moran NorrisFB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.8 | +0.83 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Maurice HicksRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 21 | 89 | 4.2 | -1.0 | -0.05 | 33% | -0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell JacksonWR | 2 | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | +3.6 | +1.79 | 100% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Frank GoreRB | 4 | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | +3.4 | +0.85 | 100% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Delanie WalkerTE | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +1.7 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Vernon DavisTE | 3 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | -0.7 | -0.24 | 67% | -0.09 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe NedneyK | — | — | 3/3 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy LeeP | 9 | 407 | 45.2 | 43.9 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice HicksRB | 4 | 75 | 18.8 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael L. LewisWR | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | 17 | 0 |