Buccaneers
27–23
TB @ NO
Saints
Final · Sun, Dec 2, 2007 · 2007 Week 13 · Louisiana Superdome
Ground Share
Buccaneers controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
TB 64%36% NO
59.7%GROUND33.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L.McCown | 42 | +0.22 | 50.0% | 7.1% | +9.2 | 3.5 | 80.0% | 71.7% | +8.3 |
| D.Brees | 26 | +0.09 | 50.0% | 11.5% | +2.4 | 8.0 | 73.9% | 67.0% | +6.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  TB |  NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.22 | +0.09 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.14 | -0.15 |
| Success Rate | 47.0% | 44.7% |
| Pass | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Rush | 41.7% | 38.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 12.1% | 8.5% |
| Pass | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Rush | 16.7% | 9.5% |
| Yards / Play | 7.06 | 5.23 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.29 | -0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 42.9% | 45.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.8 | 5.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.29 | 3.36 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.7% | 42.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 8.3% | 9.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 4.5% | 4.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.0 | 25.8 |
| Plays | 66 | 47 |
| Total Yards | 466 | 246 |
| Total EPA | +12.5 | -0.7 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Saints had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
TB 38%62% NO
5.3 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.6 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Bryant 53 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — NO +3.1
Kickoffs · NO +0.3Punts · NO +0.6Kicks · NO +2.4
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke McCownQB | 42 | 29/37 | 313 | 7.8 | +9.2 | +0.22 | +8.3 | 50% | +0.46 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earnest GrahamRB | 22 | 106 | 4.8 | +1.6 | +0.07 | 36% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Luke McCownQB | 2 | 34 | 17.0 | +1.6 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Michael ClaytonWR | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.3 | +1.34 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Michael BennettRB | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.3 | +0.32 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey GallowayWR | 7 | 7 | 159 | 22.7 | +11.8 | +1.69 | 86% | +0.44 | 0 |
| Jerramy StevensTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +2.9 | +1.43 | 50% | +0.41 | 1 |
| B.J. AskewFB | 3 | 3 | 41 | 13.7 | +2.6 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Earnest GrahamRB | 7 | 7 | 37 | 5.3 | +1.5 | +0.22 | 43% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Ike HilliardWR | 4 | 4 | 29 | 7.3 | +1.4 | +0.35 | 75% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Michael BennettRB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.3 | +1.29 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Alex SmithTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.2 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Anthony BechtTE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.0 | +0.97 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.22 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Maurice StovallWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt BryantK | 2/3(27, 31 · missed 53) | 31 | 3/3 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| Josh BidwellP | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh BidwellP | 2 | 70 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael ClaytonWR | 4 | 89 | 22.3 | 26 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ike HilliardWR | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | 13 | 0 |
| Joey GallowayWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
| Phillip BuchanonDB | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | -6 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BreesQB | 26 | 17/23 | 179 | 6.2 | +2.4 | +0.09 | +6.9 | 50% | +0.06 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BreesQB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +0.5 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 7 | 16 | 2.3 | -1.7 | -0.25 | 14% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Reggie BushRB | 13 | 64 | 4.9 | -1.9 | -0.14 | 46% | -0.30 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devery HendersonWR | 1 | 1 | 45 | 45.0 | +5.8 | +5.79 | 100% | +0.21 | 1 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 4 | 4 | 35 | 8.8 | +2.6 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Terrance CopperWR | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | +1.0 | +1.04 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Lance MooreWR | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Marques ColstonWR | 2 | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | +0.7 | +0.36 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Mike KarneyFB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.36 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Eric JohnsonTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.07 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Billy MillerTE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.1 | +0.14 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Reggie BushRB | 3 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | -1.1 | -0.35 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olindo MareK | — | — | 3/3 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve WeatherfordP | 6 | 257 | 42.8 | 41.3 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance MooreWR | 5 | 83 | 16.6 | 32 | 0 |
| David PattenWR | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 10 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance MooreWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |