Jaguars
25–28
JAX @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Dec 2, 2007 · 2007 Week 13 · RCA Dome
Ground Share
Jaguars had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
JAX 53%47% IND
74.1%GROUND66.4%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Garrard | 32 | +0.19 | 68.8% | 9.4% | +6.0 | 9.4 | 82.8% | 62.0% | +20.8 |
| P.Manning | 31 | +0.51 | 61.3% | 3.2% | +15.8 | 8.6 | 69.0% | 61.2% | +7.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.28 | +0.20 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.19 | +0.51 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.37 | -0.23 |
| Success Rate | 66.7% | 50.9% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 36.5% | 23.6% |
| Yards / Play | 6.54 | 6.25 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.32 | -0.07 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 63.6% | 78.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.9 | 5.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.04 | 2.06 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 50.0% | 36.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.7% | 36.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.5% | 12.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 20.6 | 35.3 |
| Plays | 63 | 55 |
| Total Yards | 412 | 344 |
| Total EPA | +17.4 | +11.1 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Colts had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
JAX 40%60% IND
3.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.9 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Scobee 46 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — IND +3.2
Kickoffs · JAX +0.1Punts · IND +0.5Kicks · IND +1.6
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GarrardQB | 32 | 24/29 | 243 | 7.6 | +6.0 | +0.19 | +20.8 | 69% | -0.07 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fred TaylorRB | 14 | 104 | 7.4 | +4.2 | +0.30 | 71% | +0.03 | 0 |
| David GarrardQB | 3 | 6 | 2.0 | +3.8 | +1.26 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 11 | 52 | 4.7 | +3.3 | +0.30 | 46% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Greg JonesFB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.1 | +0.13 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dennis NorthcuttWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.37 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest WilfordWR | 5 | 5 | 72 | 14.4 | +6.1 | +1.21 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Reggie WilliamsWR | 4 | 4 | 69 | 17.3 | +5.6 | +1.40 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Dennis NorthcuttWR | 4 | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | +4.5 | +1.12 | 100% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Marcedes LewisTE | 5 | 5 | 42 | 8.4 | +3.8 | +0.77 | 100% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Matt JonesWR | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +1.0 | +0.49 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.19 | 100% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Richard AnguloTE | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.2 | +0.09 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Greg JonesFB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | -0.01 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ScobeeK | 1/2(47 · missed 46) | 47 | 2/2 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice Jones-DrewRB | 2 | 42 | 21.0 | 25 | 0 |
| Scott StarksDB | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
| Derek LandriDT | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis NorthcuttWR | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | 7 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 31 | 20/29 | 283 | 9.1 | +15.8 | +0.51 | +7.8 | 61% | +0.44 | 4 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenton KeithRB | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | -1.3 | -1.27 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Joseph AddaiRB | 21 | 67 | 3.2 | -3.9 | -0.18 | 38% | +0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie WayneWR | 8 | 8 | 158 | 19.8 | +13.5 | +1.68 | 100% | +0.37 | 1 |
| Dallas ClarkTE | 7 | 7 | 60 | 8.6 | +8.6 | +1.23 | 86% | +0.16 | 2 |
| Ben UtechtTE | 3 | 3 | 47 | 15.7 | +4.1 | +1.35 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Anthony GonzalezWR | 1 | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | +2.7 | +2.67 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Luke LawtonFB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.7 | +0.65 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | — | — | 4/4 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 2 | 76 | 38.0 | 34.5 | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. RushingCB | 1 | 22 | 22.0 | 22 | 0 |
| Luke LawtonFB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |