Patriots
56–10
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Nov 18, 2007 · 2007 Week 11 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
NE 75%25% BUF
96.4%GROUND32.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 41 | +0.88 | 78.0% | 0.0% | +35.9 | 8.2 | 79.0% | 61.0% | +17.9 |
| J.Losman | 32 | -0.45 | 37.5% | 12.5% | -14.4 | 9.5 | 62.5% | 65.6% | -3.1 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.59 | -0.32 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.86 | -0.45 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.17 | -0.15 |
| Success Rate | 68.6% | 35.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 35.7% | 13.7% |
| Yards / Play | 7.29 | 4.49 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.41 | -0.22 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 76.9% | 40.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 3.8 | 7.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.52 | 2.95 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 51.8% | 35.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.8% | 11.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.1% | 19.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.9 | 29.1 |
| Plays | 70 | 51 |
| Total Yards | 510 | 229 |
| Total EPA | +41.5 | -16.4 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 2 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NE 32%68% BUF
3.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.3 pts won
Biggest swing · R.Lindell 52 yard field goal is GOOD — BUF +2.1
Kickoffs · BUF +1.0Punts · BUF +0.8Kicks · BUF +2.0
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 41 | 31/39 | 382 | 9.3 | +35.9 | +0.88 | +17.9 | 78% | +0.33 | 5 | 0 |
| Matt CasselQB | 2 | 2/2 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.0 | +0.52 | +27.2 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heath EvansFB | 10 | 56 | 5.6 | +3.6 | +0.36 | 80% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 6 | 19 | 3.2 | +1.0 | +0.16 | 33% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Kyle EckelRB | 10 | 40 | 4.0 | +0.2 | +0.02 | 40% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.18 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy MossWR | 10 | 10 | 128 | 12.8 | +19.1 | +1.91 | 90% | +0.19 | 4 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 3 | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | +6.9 | +2.29 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 7 | 7 | 78 | 11.1 | +5.5 | +0.78 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Jabar GaffneyWR | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | +4.7 | +1.57 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Donte' StallworthWR | 5 | 5 | 56 | 11.2 | +4.1 | +0.82 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Heath EvansFB | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.4 | +0.72 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +1.4 | +0.70 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kyle EckelRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.28 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | — | — | 8/8 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris HansonP | 1 | 36 | 36.0 | 16.0 | 36 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis HobbsCB | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
| Chad JacksonWR | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 15 | 0 |
| Willie AndrewsCB | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 15 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 4 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. LosmanQB | 32 | 15/26 | 167 | 5.2 | -14.4 | -0.45 | -3.1 | 38% | +0.87 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. LosmanQB | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.3 | +0.16 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | -0.4 | -0.15 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dwayne WrightRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.48 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Anthony ThomasRB | 11 | 31 | 2.8 | -1.4 | -0.13 | 27% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | 1 | 47 | 47.0 | +4.7 | +4.71 | 100% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Lee EvansWR | 4 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | +3.7 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Michael GainesTE | 1 | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | +1.3 | +1.25 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | +0.3 | +0.11 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | +0.1 | +0.07 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Anthony ThomasRB | 3 | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | -1.1 | -0.35 | 33% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dwayne WrightRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -7.7 | -7.73 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/1(52) | 52 | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 4 | 146 | 36.5 | 35.5 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence McGeeCB | 8 | 147 | 18.4 | 29 | 0 |
| Fred JacksonRB | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |