Saints
31–10
NO @ SF
49ers
Final · Sun, Oct 28, 2007 · 2007 Week 8 · Monster Park
Ground Share
Saints controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
NO 63%37% SF
56.4%GROUND32.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Brees | 39 | +0.47 | 59.0% | 0.0% | +18.3 | 7.1 | 79.5% | 60.8% | +18.7 |
| A.Smith | 47 | -0.07 | 38.3% | 4.3% | -3.1 | 8.2 | 53.7% | 60.5% | -6.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NO | SF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.25 | -0.12 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.47 | -0.07 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.18 | -0.39 |
| Success Rate | 52.9% | 40.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.6% | 20.0% |
| Yards / Play | 6.26 | 4.02 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.23 | -0.34 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.4 | 6.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.94 | 3.15 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 48.1% | 52.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.8% | 17.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.0% | 16.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.4 | 27.8 |
| Plays | 70 | 65 |
| Total Yards | 438 | 261 |
| Total EPA | +17.2 | -7.7 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NO 57%43% SF
5.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.4 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Nedney kicks onside 14 yards from SF 25 to SF 39, downed by SF-D.Goldson. PENALTY on SF-M.Lewis, Illegal… — NO +1.7
Kickoffs · NO +3.2Punts · SF +1.8Kicks · even
Player Stats
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BreesQB | 39 | 31/39 | 336 | 8.6 | +18.3 | +0.47 | +18.7 | 59% | +0.23 | 4 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie BushRB | 10 | 64 | 6.4 | +2.6 | +0.26 | 70% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Mike KarneyFB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.53 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Pierre ThomasRB | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.22 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| David PattenWR | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | -1.2 | -1.24 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 12 | 35 | 2.9 | -4.8 | -0.41 | 25% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David PattenWR | 5 | 5 | 109 | 21.8 | +9.1 | +1.82 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| Marques ColstonWR | 8 | 8 | 85 | 10.6 | +6.8 | +0.85 | 88% | +0.10 | 3 |
| Eric JohnsonTE | 2 | 2 | 29 | 14.5 | +3.6 | +1.82 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Devery HendersonWR | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +2.3 | +1.14 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Terrance CopperWR | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | +1.1 | +0.56 | 50% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Lance MooreWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.8 | +0.81 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Billy MillerTE | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +0.7 | +0.35 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Reggie BushRB | 7 | 7 | 49 | 7.0 | +0.6 | +0.09 | 43% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.3 | -0.65 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olindo MareK | 1/1(26) | 26 | 4/4 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve WeatherfordP | 4 | 159 | 39.8 | 34.0 | 45 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre ThomasRB | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | 19 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance MooreWR | 5 | 25 | 5.0 | 18 | 0 |
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex SmithQB | 47 | 22/42 | 194 | 4.1 | -3.1 | -0.07 | -6.8 | 38% | -0.21 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moran NorrisFB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.3 | +0.35 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Michael RobinsonFB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.3 | +0.16 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 12 | 41 | 3.4 | -3.0 | -0.25 | 42% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Maurice HicksRB | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | -4.3 | -2.16 | 0% | -0.11 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vernon DavisTE | 6 | 6 | 71 | 11.8 | +7.1 | +1.18 | 83% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Bryan GilmoreWR | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +4.5 | +1.49 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Michael RobinsonFB | 3 | 3 | 43 | 14.3 | +2.7 | +0.91 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ashley LelieWR | 3 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | +1.4 | +0.45 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Arnaz BattleWR | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.6 | +0.21 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Maurice HicksRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.09 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jason HillWR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.0 | -0.02 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Delanie WalkerTE | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.53 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe NedneyK | 1/1(29) | 29 | 1/1 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy LeeP | 7 | 328 | 46.9 | 40.4 | 59 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice HicksRB | 4 | 97 | 24.3 | 29 | 0 |
| Michael L. LewisWR | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael L. LewisWR | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 23 | 0 |