Panthers
16–13
CAR @ NO
Saints
Final · Sun, Oct 7, 2007 · 2007 Week 5 · Louisiana Superdome
Ground Share
Saints controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
CAR 39%61% NO
34.7%GROUND54.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Carr | 19 | -0.04 | 52.6% | 5.3% | -0.7 | 10.1 | 66.7% | 62.9% | +3.8 |
| D.Brees | 47 | -0.15 | 38.3% | 0.0% | -7.2 | 7.4 | 63.0% | 65.9% | -2.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | CAR | NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.03 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.06 | -0.15 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.23 | +0.05 |
| Success Rate | 40.0% | 43.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.0% | 16.3% |
| Yards / Play | 4.86 | 4.26 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.16 | -0.25 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.5% | 57.1% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.7 | 6.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.39 | 2.73 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 33.3% | 39.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.2% | 14.3% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 22.0% | 17.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 30.0 | 30.9 |
| Plays | 50 | 80 |
| Total Yards | 243 | 341 |
| Total EPA | -5.3 | -2.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Panthers dominated the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 70% of the time
CAR 83%17% NO
12.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS2.6 pts won
Biggest swing · O.Mare 20 yard field goal is BLOCKED, RECOVERED by CAR-R.Marshall at CAR 13. R.Marshall to CAR 15 for 2 yards — CAR +3.3
Kickoffs · NO +1.2Punts · CAR +1.9Kicks · CAR +8.9
Player Stats
CAR
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt MooreQB | 2 | 1/2 | 43 | 21.5 | +1.9 | +0.94 | +0.3 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 | 0 |
| David CarrQB | 19 | 10/17 | 118 | 6.2 | -0.7 | -0.04 | +3.8 | 53% | +0.07 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David CarrQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.1 | +0.13 | 100% | -0.03 | 0 |
| DeAngelo WilliamsRB | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | -1.7 | -0.25 | 14% | -0.14 | 0 |
| DeShaun FosterRB | 19 | 59 | 3.1 | -4.6 | -0.24 | 32% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keary ColbertWR | 4 | 4 | 74 | 18.5 | +7.2 | +1.81 | 100% | +0.25 | 0 |
| Steve SmithWR | 4 | 4 | 47 | 11.8 | +6.0 | +1.49 | 100% | +0.37 | 1 |
| Jeff KingTE | 2 | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | +2.1 | +1.05 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Brad HooverFB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.47 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John KasayK | 3/3(23, 35, 52) | 52 | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason BakerP | 4 | 199 | 49.8 | 47.0 | 57 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAngelo WilliamsRB | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 17 | 0 |
| Stanley McCloverDE | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve SmithWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BreesQB | 47 | 29/47 | 252 | 5.4 | -7.2 | -0.15 | -2.9 | 38% | -0.15 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve WeatherfordP | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +2.9 | +2.92 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Mike KarneyFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +0.7 | +0.69 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | +0.4 | +0.09 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Pierre ThomasRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Reggie BushRB | 21 | 67 | 3.2 | -2.1 | -0.10 | 48% | -0.08 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devery HendersonWR | 4 | 4 | 101 | 25.3 | +9.1 | +2.27 | 100% | +0.37 | 0 |
| Lance MooreWR | 3 | 3 | 32 | 10.7 | +3.6 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Reggie BushRB | 9 | 9 | 52 | 5.8 | +3.2 | +0.36 | 44% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Marques ColstonWR | 4 | 4 | 31 | 7.8 | +1.8 | +0.44 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Eric JohnsonTE | 5 | 5 | 30 | 6.0 | +1.1 | +0.23 | 80% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Mike KarneyFB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.70 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 3 | 3 | -3 | -1.0 | -2.8 | -0.94 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olindo MareK | 2/4(25, 28 · missed 20, 54) | 28 | 1/1 | — | — | 7 |
| Steve WeatherfordP | — | — | — | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve WeatherfordP | 2 | 78 | 39.0 | 36.0 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre ThomasRB | 4 | 100 | 25.0 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance MooreWR | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | 8 | 0 |