Ravens
9–7
BAL @ SF
49ers
Final · Sun, Oct 7, 2007 · 2007 Week 5 · Monster Park
Ground Share
Ravens controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
BAL 63%37% SF
38.3%GROUND22.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S.McNair | 44 | -0.02 | 40.9% | 0.0% | -0.7 | 3.6 | 67.4% | 65.3% | +2.1 |
| T.Dilfer | 23 | -0.21 | 34.8% | 13.0% | -4.8 | 5.6 | 66.7% | 63.0% | +3.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BAL | SF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.04 | -0.32 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.02 | -0.21 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.18 | -0.45 |
| Success Rate | 39.0% | 24.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.5% | 9.8% |
| Yards / Play | 4.10 | 3.98 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.13 | -0.21 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 42.9% | 25.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.8 | 7.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.42 | 2.09 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 32.3% | 38.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 29.0% | 16.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.7% | 9.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.0 | 27.0 |
| Plays | 77 | 41 |
| Total Yards | 316 | 163 |
| Total EPA | -3.4 | -12.9 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
BAL 46%54% SF
7.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.4 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Nedney 52 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — BAL +3.0
Kickoffs · SF +1.5Punts · SF +5.2Kicks · BAL +5.3
Player Stats
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve McNairQB | 44 | 29/43 | 221 | 5.0 | -0.7 | -0.02 | +2.1 | 41% | +0.10 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve McNairQB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | +1.5 | +0.75 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Le'Ron McClainFB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Yamon FigursWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.03 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Willis McGaheeRB | 22 | 88 | 4.0 | -2.5 | -0.11 | 46% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Musa SmithRB | 5 | 2 | 0.4 | -2.6 | -0.52 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick MasonWR | 11 | 11 | 85 | 7.7 | +5.7 | +0.52 | 73% | +0.30 | 0 |
| Quinn SypniewskiTE | 4 | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | +2.5 | +0.61 | 75% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Willis McGaheeRB | 7 | 7 | 48 | 6.9 | +2.2 | +0.32 | 57% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Demetrius WilliamsWR | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | +1.5 | +0.37 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Mark ClaytonWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.3 | +0.29 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Musa SmithRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -1.7 | -0.84 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt StoverK | 3/3(26, 32, 49) | 49 | — | 4 | 0 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam KochP | 7 | 291 | 41.6 | 34.6 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory RossRB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed ReedFS | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
| Cory RossRB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 3 | 0 |
| Yamon FigursWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent DilferQB | 23 | 12/19 | 118 | 5.1 | -4.8 | -0.21 | +3.7 | 35% | -0.11 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice HicksRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -1.2 | -1.21 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Bryan GilmoreWR | 1 | -8 | -8.0 | -2.3 | -2.30 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 16 | 52 | 3.3 | -4.6 | -0.29 | 13% | -0.18 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan GilmoreWR | 1 | 1 | 42 | 42.0 | +3.8 | +3.84 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Arnaz BattleWR | 3 | 3 | 36 | 12.0 | +2.6 | +0.88 | 67% | +0.11 | 1 |
| Moran NorrisFB | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +1.0 | +0.48 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +0.4 | +0.13 | 33% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Darrell JacksonWR | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.3 | +0.16 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Michael RobinsonFB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.91 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe NedneyK | 0/1(missed 52) | — | 1/1 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy LeeP | 7 | 361 | 51.6 | 48.7 | 74 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maurice HicksRB | 4 | 104 | 26.0 | 29 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael L. LewisWR | 6 | 29 | 4.8 | 11 | 0 |