Jets
14–17
NYJ @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 30, 2007 · 2007 Week 4 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
NYJ 49%51% BUF
50.8%GROUND52.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.Pennington | 40 | +0.20 | 52.5% | 2.5% | +7.8 | 6.6 | 82.0% | 65.5% | +16.5 |
| T.Edwards | 30 | +0.23 | 63.3% | 6.7% | +6.9 | 7.9 | 81.5% | 65.5% | +16.0 |
Team Stats
| Metric |  NYJ |  BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.12 | +0.08 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.20 | +0.23 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.04 | -0.08 |
| Success Rate | 49.1% | 47.4% |
| Pass | 52.5% | 63.3% |
| Rush | 42.1% | 29.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 6.8% | 8.8% |
| Pass | 7.5% | 10.0% |
| Rush | 5.3% | 7.4% |
| Yards / Play | 5.86 | 5.35 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.05 | +0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 58.3% | 54.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.41 | 2.77 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.8% | 40.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 21.1% | 11.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.9% | 10.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.3 | 26.9 |
| Plays | 59 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 346 | 305 |
| Total EPA | +7.1 | +4.8 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 2 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NYJ 35%65% BUF
3.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.0 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Nugent 37 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Right Upright — BUF +2.3
Kickoffs · NYJ +1.4Punts · BUF +0.6Kicks · BUF +3.9
Player Stats
NYJ
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad PenningtonQB | 40 | 32/39 | 290 | 7.2 | +7.8 | +0.20 | +16.5 | 53% | -0.08 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon WashingtonRB | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | +1.9 | +0.46 | 50% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Chad PenningtonQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.5 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.3 | -0.27 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jerricho CotcheryWR | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -0.89 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Thomas JonesRB | 12 | 35 | 2.9 | -1.9 | -0.16 | 42% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laveranues ColesWR | 8 | 8 | 65 | 8.1 | +5.8 | +0.72 | 75% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Jerricho CotcheryWR | 8 | 8 | 106 | 13.3 | +5.7 | +0.71 | 63% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Brad SmithWR | 2 | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | +2.4 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Thomas JonesRB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +2.1 | +1.04 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Chris BakerTE | 3 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.6 | +0.54 | 67% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Leon WashingtonRB | 8 | 8 | 38 | 4.8 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 50% | -0.13 | 0 |
| Joe KowalewskiTE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.42 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike NugentK | 0/1(missed 37) | — | 2/2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben GrahamP | 4 | 166 | 41.5 | 38.5 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon WashingtonRB | 2 | 54 | 27.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon WashingtonRB | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | 5 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent EdwardsQB | 30 | 22/28 | 234 | 7.3 | +6.9 | +0.23 | +16.0 | 63% | +0.19 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ReedWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.15 | 0% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Dwayne WrightRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Anthony ThomasRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.7 | -0.34 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Marshawn LynchRB | 23 | 79 | 3.4 | -0.8 | -0.04 | 35% | +0.00 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ReedWR | 4 | 4 | 64 | 16.0 | +6.7 | +1.67 | 100% | +0.25 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 6 | 6 | 72 | 12.0 | +5.7 | +0.94 | 83% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Michael GainesTE | 4 | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | +3.5 | +0.89 | 75% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | +3.3 | +0.82 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Peerless PriceWR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.5 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Robert RoyalTE | 3 | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | -2.1 | -0.69 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/1(46) | 46 | 2/2 | 4 | 2 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 3 | 116 | 38.7 | 37.0 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence McGeeCB | 3 | 60 | 20.0 | 21 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | 12 | 0 |