Patriots
34–13
NE @ CIN
Bengals
Final · Mon, Oct 1, 2007 · 2007 Week 4 · Paul Brown Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
NE 60%40% CIN
64.8%GROUND43.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 32 | +0.52 | 62.5% | 0.0% | +16.5 | 5.5 | 77.4% | 62.6% | +14.8 |
| C.Palmer | 36 | -0.06 | 47.2% | 2.8% | -2.1 | 8.4 | 60.6% | 57.7% | +2.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.39 | -0.08 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.52 | -0.06 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.29 | -0.07 |
| Success Rate | 60.0% | 44.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 35.4% | 23.1% |
| Yards / Play | 6.29 | 5.44 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.25 | +0.05 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 64.3% | 12.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.6 | 7.3 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.15 | 2.91 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 53.3% | 33.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.2% | 15.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.9 | 28.3 |
| Plays | 65 | 52 |
| Total Yards | 409 | 283 |
| Total EPA | +25.2 | -4.2 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NE 50%50% CIN
4.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.4 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Graham 48 yard field goal is GOOD. Louis — CIN +1.6
Kickoffs · NE +1.0Punts · NE +0.5Kicks · CIN +1.5
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 32 | 25/32 | 231 | 7.2 | +16.5 | +0.52 | +14.9 | 63% | +0.28 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy MorrisRB | 21 | 117 | 5.6 | +5.3 | +0.25 | 57% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | +2.7 | +2.68 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.4 | +0.14 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kyle EckelRB | 3 | 11 | 3.7 | +0.3 | +0.09 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Heath EvansFB | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -0.6 | -0.32 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy MossWR | 9 | 9 | 102 | 11.3 | +13.1 | +1.46 | 100% | +0.18 | 2 |
| Donte' StallworthWR | 4 | 4 | 49 | 12.3 | +4.0 | +1.00 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 3 | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | +1.9 | +0.63 | 67% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +1.7 | +0.57 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Mike VrabelOLB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.5 | +1.54 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +0.4 | +0.18 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.11 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Logan MankinsG | 1 | 1 | -9 | -9.0 | -1.3 | -1.34 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 2/2(31, 36) | 36 | 4/4 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris HansonP | 1 | 38 | 38.0 | 38.0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis HobbsCB | 3 | 79 | 26.3 | 31 | 0 |
| Willie AndrewsCB | 1 | 24 | 24.0 | 24 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | 9 | 0 |
CIN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson PalmerQB | 36 | 21/35 | 226 | 6.3 | -2.1 | -0.06 | +2.9 | 47% | -0.03 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremi JohnsonFB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kenny WatsonRB | 13 | 55 | 4.2 | -0.2 | -0.01 | 46% | -0.07 | 0 |
| T.J. HoushmandzadehWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.8 | -0.76 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. HoushmandzadehWR | 10 | 10 | 100 | 10.0 | +10.1 | +1.01 | 90% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Chad JohnsonWR | 3 | 3 | 53 | 17.7 | +4.7 | +1.57 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Reggie KellyTE | 2 | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | +3.8 | +1.88 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Antonio ChatmanWR | 3 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | +1.1 | +0.37 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Kenny WatsonRB | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.6 | -0.31 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jeremi JohnsonFB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.7 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shayne GrahamK | 2/2(40, 48) | 48 | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle LarsonP | 4 | 168 | 42.0 | 38.0 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glenn HoltWR | 6 | 129 | 21.5 | 34 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Skyler GreenWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |