Bills
7–38
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Sep 23, 2007 · 2007 Week 3 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots dominated the field
Teams with this edge win 98% of the time
BUF 22%78% NE
20.2%GROUND72.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Edwards | 21 | -0.41 | 42.9% | 4.8% | -8.7 | 8.4 | 50.0% | 56.7% | -6.7 |
| T.Brady | 30 | +0.66 | 63.3% | 3.3% | +19.7 | 7.3 | 82.1% | 60.4% | +21.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.26 | +0.22 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.54 | +0.66 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.01 | -0.13 |
| Success Rate | 38.0% | 57.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 16.0% | 38.2% |
| Yards / Play | 3.86 | 7.13 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.25 | +0.30 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 36.4% | 38.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.39 | 3.48 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 59.3% | 55.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.2% | 15.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 20.3 | 39.5 |
| Plays | 50 | 68 |
| Total Yards | 193 | 485 |
| Total EPA | -12.8 | +14.9 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
BUF 36%64% NE
3.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.6 pts won
Biggest swing · B.Moorman punts 53 yards to NE 2, downed by BUF-J.Leonhard. ball saved from going into end zone by BUF Wend… — BUF +1.1
Kickoffs · NE +3.7Punts · BUF +1.4Kicks · NE +0.1
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. LosmanQB | 2 | 1/1 | -5 | -2.5 | -3.9 | -1.93 | +15.5 | 50% | -0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Trent EdwardsQB | 21 | 10/20 | 88 | 4.2 | -8.7 | -0.41 | -6.7 | 43% | +0.02 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne WrightRB | 6 | 36 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.04 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Marshawn LynchRB | 20 | 74 | 3.7 | -0.1 | +0.00 | 30% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Trent EdwardsQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.50 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 2 | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | +3.0 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 2 | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | +1.8 | +0.92 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Peerless PriceWR | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +1.7 | +0.83 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Michael GainesTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.8 | +0.84 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.6 | +0.56 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Ryan NeufeldFB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.2 | +0.20 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Marshawn LynchRB | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | — | — | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 7 | 343 | 49.0 | 38.7 | 75 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ScobeyRB | 5 | 112 | 22.4 | 29 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 30 | 23/29 | 308 | 10.3 | +19.7 | +0.66 | +21.7 | 63% | +0.19 | 4 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 19 | 103 | 5.4 | +2.0 | +0.11 | 63% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | -0.4 | -0.20 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Heath EvansFB | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | -0.8 | -0.19 | 50% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 12 | 46 | 3.8 | -1.1 | -0.09 | 42% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -4.7 | -4.68 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy MossWR | 5 | 5 | 104 | 20.8 | +8.8 | +1.75 | 80% | +0.05 | 2 |
| Wes WelkerWR | 6 | 6 | 80 | 13.3 | +7.1 | +1.19 | 83% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Jabar GaffneyWR | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +3.3 | +1.66 | 100% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +3.1 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Kyle BradyTE | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +2.1 | +2.06 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Donte' StallworthWR | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | +1.7 | +1.71 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| David ThomasTE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.5 | +0.48 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 5 | 5 | 38 | 7.6 | -0.5 | -0.10 | 60% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 1/1(24) | 24 | 5/5 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris HansonP | 2 | 59 | 29.5 | 29.5 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis HobbsCB | 1 | 33 | 33.0 | 33 | 0 |
| David ThomasTE | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes WelkerWR | 3 | 72 | 24.0 | 29 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |