Broncos
15–14
DEN @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 9, 2007 · 2007 Week 1 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Broncos controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
DEN 68%32% BUF
62.5%GROUND29.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Cutler | 40 | +0.27 | 47.5% | 2.5% | +10.6 | 7.9 | 62.2% | 62.7% | -0.5 |
| J.Losman | 24 | -0.28 | 33.3% | 8.3% | -6.7 | 7.3 | 70.0% | 66.1% | +3.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.14 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.27 | -0.28 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.02 | +0.09 |
| Success Rate | 44.4% | 30.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 31.9% | 18.4% |
| Yards / Play | 6.53 | 3.76 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.09 | -0.18 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.9 | 9.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.77 | 3.03 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 48.4% | 36.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 16.1% | 24.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.3% | 12.2% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.8 | 30.7 |
| Plays | 72 | 49 |
| Total Yards | 470 | 184 |
| Total EPA | +10.3 | -4.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
DEN 31%69% BUF
8.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS17.4 pts won
Biggest swing · T.Sauerbrun punts 42 yards to BUF 26. R.Parrish for 74 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: J.DiGiorgio — BUF +5.8
Kickoffs · BUF +1.8Punts · BUF +7.2Kicks · BUF +0.5
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay CutlerQB | 40 | 23/38 | 310 | 7.8 | +10.6 | +0.27 | -0.5 | 48% | +0.35 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis HenryRB | 23 | 139 | 6.0 | +1.6 | +0.07 | 48% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jay CutlerQB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | +0.1 | +0.04 | 33% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Selvin YoungRB | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.3 | -0.13 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Cecil SappRB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | -0.8 | -0.27 | 33% | -0.04 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon WalkerWR | 9 | 9 | 119 | 13.2 | +9.0 | +0.99 | 78% | +0.51 | 0 |
| Brandon StokleyWR | 3 | 3 | 65 | 21.7 | +6.1 | +2.04 | 100% | +0.26 | 0 |
| Brandon MarshallWR | 5 | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | +4.9 | +0.97 | 80% | +0.18 | 1 |
| Travis HenryRB | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | +3.9 | +1.31 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 3 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.16 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason ElamK | 3/5(21, 48, 42 · missed 50, 43) | 48 | — | — | — | 9 |
| Todd SauerbrunP | — | — | — | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd SauerbrunP | 3 | 123 | 41.0 | 11.7 | 56 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenik HixonWR | 3 | 72 | 24.0 | 33 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenik HixonWR | 5 | 10 | 2.0 | 8 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. LosmanQB | 24 | 14/21 | 85 | 3.5 | -6.8 | -0.28 | +3.9 | 33% | -0.47 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marshawn LynchRB | 19 | 90 | 4.7 | +4.9 | +0.26 | 32% | +0.22 | 1 |
| Josh ReedWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.2 | +1.24 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| J.P. LosmanQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.7 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -1.0 | -0.97 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Anthony ThomasRB | 3 | -1 | -0.3 | -2.1 | -0.69 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +3.8 | +1.87 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 4 | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | +1.1 | +0.28 | 75% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Robert RoyalTE | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.9 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kevin EverettTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.26 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Anthony ThomasRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Peerless PriceWR | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -0.9 | -0.92 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Marshawn LynchRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -1.3 | -0.63 | 50% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2.5 | -1.5 | -0.74 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 0/1(missed 45) | — | 2/2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 6 | 262 | 43.7 | 42.0 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence McGeeCB | 4 | 112 | 28.0 | 48 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 3 | 88 | 29.3 | 74 | 1 |