Patriots
34–38
NE @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Jan 21, 2007 · 2006 Conference Championship · RCA Dome
Ground Share
Neither team controlled the field
NE 49%51% IND
46.5%GROUND49.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 35 | +0.13 | 40.0% | 2.9% | +4.4 | 7.2 | 61.8% | 64.2% | -2.5 |
| P.Manning | 50 | +0.01 | 48.0% | 6.0% | +0.3 | 12.6 | 57.5% | 58.3% | -0.9 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.08 | +0.08 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.13 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.12 | +0.14 |
| Success Rate | 37.7% | 53.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 24.6% | 27.2% |
| Yards / Play | 5.25 | 5.63 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.06 | +0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.9% | 53.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.8 | 8.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.77 | 3.59 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 43.5% | 51.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 39.1% | 6.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.4% | 11.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 37.5 | 22.7 |
| Plays | 61 | 81 |
| Total Yards | 320 | 456 |
| Total EPA | +5.0 | +6.7 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 64%36% IND
9.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.3 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Vinatieri kicks 71 yards from IND 30 to NE -1. E.Hobbs pushed ob at IND 21 for 80 yards — NE +3.3
Kickoffs · NE +4.5Punts · NE +0.4Kicks · IND +0.7
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 35 | 21/34 | 226 | 6.5 | +4.4 | +0.13 | -2.4 | 40% | +0.09 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey DillonRB | 7 | 48 | 6.9 | +3.2 | +0.45 | 29% | +0.10 | 1 |
| Tom BradyQB | 3 | 2 | 0.7 | +1.7 | +0.56 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | +1.6 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Heath EvansFB | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.7 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 8 | 13 | 1.6 | -2.5 | -0.32 | 38% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabar GaffneyWR | 3 | 3 | 37 | 12.3 | +5.7 | +1.91 | 100% | +0.24 | 1 |
| Troy BrownWR | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | +4.4 | +2.18 | 50% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 5 | 5 | 48 | 9.6 | +3.1 | +0.61 | 60% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Reche CaldwellWR | 4 | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | +2.3 | +0.58 | 75% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | +1.6 | +1.60 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Heath EvansFB | 4 | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | -0.1 | -0.03 | 75% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.7 | -0.71 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | 2/2(28, 43) | 43 | 4/4 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd SauerbrunP | 5 | 257 | 51.4 | 39.4 | 59 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis HobbsCB | 6 | 220 | 36.7 | 80 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 11 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 3 | 39 | 13.0 | 16 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 50 | 27/47 | 330 | 6.6 | +0.3 | +0.01 | -0.9 | 48% | +0.38 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph AddaiRB | 14 | 56 | 4.0 | +2.9 | +0.21 | 64% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 14 | 69 | 4.9 | +1.3 | +0.09 | 57% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Peyton ManningQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.2 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas ClarkTE | 6 | 6 | 137 | 22.8 | +9.9 | +1.66 | 100% | +0.38 | 0 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 5 | 5 | 68 | 13.6 | +6.8 | +1.36 | 100% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 4 | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | +3.1 | +0.76 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 4 | 4 | 38 | 9.5 | +2.5 | +0.61 | 75% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Bryan FletcherTE | 1 | 1 | 32 | 32.0 | +1.8 | +1.81 | 100% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Aaron MooreheadWR | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +1.4 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Dan KleckoFB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.6 | +0.57 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Ben UtechtTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.1 | +0.15 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Joseph AddaiRB | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -1.0 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 3/3(42, 26, 36) | 42 | 3/3 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 4 | 211 | 52.8 | 43.0 | 58 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence WilkinsWR | 4 | 80 | 20.0 | 25 | 0 |
| Charlie JohnsonG | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 12 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence WilkinsWR | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | 16 | 0 |