Colts
15–6
IND @ BAL
Ravens
Final · Sat, Jan 13, 2007 · 2006 Divisional Round · M&T Bank Stadium
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 54%46% BAL
33.9%GROUND29.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Manning | 32 | -0.06 | 40.6% | 3.1% | -2.0 | 14.8 | 50.0% | 53.6% | -3.6 |
| S.McNair | 32 | -0.47 | 31.3% | 6.3% | -15.0 | 7.8 | 62.1% | 60.3% | +1.8 |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | BAL |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.12 | -0.32 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.06 | -0.47 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.15 | -0.06 |
| Success Rate | 36.4% | 32.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| Yards / Play | 3.98 | 4.44 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.11 | -0.17 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 44.4% | 18.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.2 | 7.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.44 | 3.33 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 34.4% | 36.8% |
| Stuff Rate | 25.0% | 10.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 15.2% | 10.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.6 | 29.8 |
| Plays | 66 | 55 |
| Total Yards | 263 | 244 |
| Total EPA | -8.1 | -17.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 4 |
Special Teams
Colts had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
IND 59%41% BAL
10.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS7.1 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Vinatieri 51 yard field goal is GOOD. Ball hits crossbar and goes over — IND +2.1
Kickoffs · BAL +1.2Punts · IND +1.7Kicks · IND +2.4
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 32 | 15/30 | 168 | 5.3 | -2.0 | -0.06 | -3.6 | 41% | -0.02 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic RhodesRB | 14 | 56 | 4.0 | -0.4 | -0.03 | 36% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Joseph AddaiRB | 18 | 39 | 2.2 | -4.8 | -0.27 | 28% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 4 | 4 | 45 | 11.3 | +4.1 | +1.03 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Dallas ClarkTE | 2 | 2 | 41 | 20.5 | +3.7 | +1.86 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 5 | 5 | 51 | 10.2 | +3.2 | +0.64 | 80% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Joseph AddaiRB | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.9 | +0.31 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ben UtechtTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | -0.2 | -0.16 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 5/5(23, 42, 51, 48, 35) | 51 | — | 6 | 0 | 15 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 4 | 180 | 45.0 | 32.5 | 51 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence WilkinsWR | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence WilkinsWR | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 21 | 0 |
BAL
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve McNairQB | 32 | 18/29 | 167 | 5.2 | -15.0 | -0.47 | +1.8 | 31% | -0.55 | 0 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ovie MughelliFB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Mike AndersonRB | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | -0.4 | -0.09 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Jamal LewisRB | 13 | 53 | 4.1 | -1.8 | -0.14 | 31% | -0.09 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark ClaytonWR | 6 | 6 | 73 | 12.2 | +2.4 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Daniel WilcoxTE | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +1.3 | +1.25 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jamal LewisRB | 3 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.0 | +0.32 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Ovie MughelliFB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.5 | +0.26 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Derrick MasonWR | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | -0.3 | -0.12 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Mike AndersonRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.7 | -0.70 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Todd HeapTE | 3 | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | -4.5 | -1.51 | 33% | -0.15 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt StoverK | 2/2(40, 51) | 51 | — | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam KochP | 5 | 190 | 38.0 | 27.4 | 47 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory RossRB | 6 | 124 | 20.7 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cory RossRB | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 18 | 0 |