49ers
26–23
SF @ DEN
Broncos
Final/OT · Sun, Dec 31, 2006 · 2006 Week 17 · Invesco Field at Mile High
Ground Share
49ers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
SF 53%47% DEN
39.0%GROUND35.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.Smith | 37 | -0.24 | -9.0 | 8.1 | 53.1% | 60.2% | -5.3 |
| J.Cutler | 34 | -0.12 | -4.1 | 7.9 | 65.6% | 62.9% | +2.7 |
Team Stats
| Metric | SF | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.17 | -0.21 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.25 | -0.28 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.09 | -0.16 |
| Success Rate | 36.4% | 39.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.8% | 18.2% |
| Yards / Play | 4.64 | 4.95 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.28 | -0.03 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.5% | 21.4% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.8 | 8.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.01 | 3.26 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 52.8% | 36.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 8.3% | 24.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 7.8% | 13.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 34.6 | 28.4 |
| Plays | 77 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 357 | 327 |
| Total EPA | -13.4 | -13.6 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 3 |
Player Stats
SF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael RobinsonFB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.6 | -2.61 | -44.9 | 0% | -0.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex SmithQB | 39 | 17/32 | 176 | 4.5 | -7.4 | -0.19 | -5.3 | 39% | -0.15 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan GilmoreWR | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.3 | +1.25 | 100% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Moran NorrisFB | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +0.8 | +0.42 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Arnaz BattleWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.28 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Vernon DavisTE | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.0 | -0.97 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 31 | 153 | 4.9 | -3.0 | -0.10 | 36% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arnaz BattleWR | 4 | 4 | 56 | 14.0 | +4.4 | +1.11 | 75% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Moran NorrisFB | 1 | 1 | 32 | 32.0 | +4.2 | +4.21 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Taylor JacobsWR | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7.5 | +3.3 | +1.62 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Frank GoreRB | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | +2.9 | +1.45 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Michael RobinsonFB | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +2.7 | +1.36 | 100% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Bryan GilmoreWR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.8 | +1.82 | 100% | +0.24 | 0 |
| Vernon DavisTE | 3 | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.4 | +0.14 | 67% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Eric JohnsonTE | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | -1.3 | -0.67 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay CutlerQB | 34 | 21/32 | 213 | 6.3 | -4.1 | -0.12 | +2.7 | 44% | -0.02 | 1 | 1 |
| Jake PlummerQB | 3 | 0/2 | -3 | -1.0 | -6.2 | -2.06 | -32.6 | 0% | -0.12 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum BellRB | 12 | 48 | 4.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 42% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jay CutlerQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.5 | -0.45 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Jake PlummerQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -1.1 | -1.15 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Mike BellRB | 11 | 66 | 6.0 | -2.5 | -0.23 | 27% | -0.29 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony SchefflerTE | 3 | 3 | 54 | 18.0 | +5.4 | +1.79 | 100% | +0.25 | 1 |
| Rod SmithWR | 5 | 5 | 59 | 11.8 | +5.1 | +1.01 | 100% | +0.30 | 0 |
| Mike BellRB | 3 | 3 | 34 | 11.3 | +2.3 | +0.77 | 67% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Brandon MarshallWR | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | +1.5 | +0.77 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| David KircusWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.3 | +0.30 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Javon WalkerWR | 4 | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | +0.1 | +0.03 | 50% | +0.16 | 0 |
| Tatum BellRB | 3 | 3 | 27 | 9.0 | -3.0 | -1.02 | 33% | -0.11 | 0 |