Patriots
28–6
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Oct 22, 2006 · 2006 Week 7 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 55%45% BUF
38.6%GROUND32.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 31 | +0.37 | 45.2% | 12.9% | +11.5 | 9.1 | 65.4% | 58.6% | +6.7 |
| J.Losman | 28 | -0.22 | 42.9% | 7.1% | -6.1 | 9.2 | 69.6% | 64.3% | +5.2 |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.18 | -0.27 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.37 | -0.22 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.04 | -0.29 |
| Success Rate | 39.7% | 37.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 25.9% | 11.1% |
| Yards / Play | 4.59 | 4.74 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.04 | -0.27 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 60.0% | 30.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.3 | 8.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.51 | 2.55 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 38.5% | 33.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.9% | 16.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 37.3 | 27.4 |
| Plays | 58 | 54 |
| Total Yards | 266 | 256 |
| Total EPA | +10.4 | -14.8 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 3 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 59%41% BUF
7.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.3 pts won
Biggest swing · R.Lindell kicks 65 yards from BUF 30 to NE 5. L.Maroney to BUF 21 for 74 yards. Play Challenged by BUF and… — NE +3.3
Kickoffs · NE +3.8Punts · NE +1.3Kicks · BUF +2.7
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 31 | 18/27 | 171 | 5.5 | +11.5 | +0.37 | +6.7 | 45% | +0.16 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad JacksonWR | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.6 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.7 | +0.72 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Reche CaldwellWR | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.2 | +0.18 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -0.3 | -0.28 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Corey DillonRB | 14 | 47 | 3.4 | -0.4 | -0.03 | 29% | +0.01 | 2 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | -1.8 | -0.23 | 25% | +0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 5 | 5 | 60 | 12.0 | +6.0 | +1.19 | 80% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Doug GabrielWR | 3 | 3 | 45 | 15.0 | +5.9 | +1.96 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Chad JacksonWR | 1 | 1 | 35 | 35.0 | +3.7 | +3.71 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Troy BrownWR | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10.5 | +2.6 | +1.30 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Reche CaldwellWR | 5 | 5 | 22 | 4.4 | +2.4 | +0.48 | 60% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | -0.2 | -0.20 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.41 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen GostkowskiK | — | — | 4/4 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh MillerP | 6 | 285 | 47.5 | 37.7 | 62 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence MaroneyRB | 2 | 100 | 50.0 | 74 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin FaulkRB | 2 | 20 | 10.0 | 13 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | 12 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. LosmanQB | 28 | 16/25 | 187 | 6.7 | -6.1 | -0.22 | +5.2 | 43% | -0.08 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh ReedWR | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.44 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Anthony ThomasRB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.49 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Willis McGaheeRB | 20 | 59 | 3.0 | -1.5 | -0.07 | 40% | -0.11 | 0 |
| J.P. LosmanQB | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -4.6 | -2.32 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willis McGaheeRB | 2 | 2 | 61 | 30.5 | +5.1 | +2.55 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Robert RoyalTE | 4 | 4 | 36 | 9.0 | +2.9 | +0.72 | 75% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Peerless PriceWR | 5 | 5 | 53 | 10.6 | +2.3 | +0.46 | 80% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Lee EvansWR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.7 | +0.65 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 4 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.12 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 2/2(40, 46) | 46 | — | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 5 | 221 | 44.2 | 37.8 | 53 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence McGeeCB | 4 | 122 | 30.5 | 47 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roscoe ParrishWR | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | 21 | 0 |