Colts
3–20
IND @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Jan 16, 2005 · 2004 Divisional Round · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
IND 40%60% NE
35.9%GROUND55.0%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Manning | 43 | -0.17 | 51.2% | 2.3% | -7.3 | — | — | — | — |
| T.Brady | 30 | +0.02 | 36.7% | 10.0% | +0.5 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.20 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.17 | +0.02 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.28 | +0.12 |
| Success Rate | 47.5% | 40.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 8.2% | 25.7% |
| Yards / Play | 4.52 | 4.66 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.23 | +0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.4 | 7.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.67 | 4.14 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 57.9% |
| Stuff Rate | 13.3% | 15.8% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.1 | 34.1 |
| Plays | 61 | 70 |
| Total Yards | 276 | 326 |
| Total EPA | -12.3 | +6.7 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 0 |
Special Teams
Patriots had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
IND 42%58% NE
3.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS4.7 pts won
Biggest swing · H.Smith punts 37 yards to NE 36. T.Brown to IND 44 for 20 yards — NE +1.5
Kickoffs · NE +1.2Punts · IND +0.5Kicks · NE +0.5
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 43 | 27/42 | 230 | 5.3 | -7.3 | -0.17 | — | 51% | -0.02 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.2 | +0.17 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 14 | 39 | 2.8 | -3.6 | -0.26 | 36% | -0.14 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 7 | 7 | 69 | 9.9 | +4.4 | +0.63 | 100% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Brandon StokleyWR | 8 | 8 | 64 | 8.0 | +3.8 | +0.47 | 88% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 5 | 5 | 44 | 8.8 | +2.9 | +0.58 | 80% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Dallas ClarkTE | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +1.3 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Marcus PollardTE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | -1.2 | -1.21 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 3 | 3 | 35 | 11.7 | -1.3 | -0.43 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 1 | 1 | -2 | -2.0 | -3.2 | -3.17 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike VanderjagtK | 1/1(23) | 23 | — | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 6 | 244 | 40.7 | 36.0 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic RhodesRB | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | 24 | 0 |
| James MungroRB | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 10 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 30 | 18/27 | 115 | 3.8 | +0.5 | +0.02 | — | 37% | +0.03 | 1 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey DillonRB | 23 | 144 | 6.3 | +6.3 | +0.28 | 44% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 3 | 7 | 2.3 | +0.6 | +0.21 | 33% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.19 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 11 | 56 | 5.1 | -0.7 | -0.06 | 46% | +0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GivensWR | 4 | 4 | 26 | 6.5 | +2.6 | +0.64 | 50% | +0.06 | 1 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +2.1 | +2.07 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Patrick PassRB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | +1.8 | +1.83 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.8 | +1.77 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| David PattenWR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.6 | +1.64 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.3 | +1.27 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +0.8 | +0.85 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.8 | +0.75 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Corey DillonRB | 5 | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | -1.6 | -0.32 | 20% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 2/2(24, 31) | 31 | 2/2 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh MillerP | 4 | 148 | 37.0 | 32.0 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedy BruschiILB | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 15 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | 20 | 0 |