Broncos
24–49
DEN @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Jan 9, 2005 · 2004 Wild Card · RCA Dome
Ground Share
Colts controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
DEN 37%63% IND
47.8%GROUND81.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Plummer | 37 | +0.32 | 56.8% | 8.1% | +11.7 | — | — | — | — |
| P.Manning | 34 | +0.82 | 70.6% | 2.9% | +27.8 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.52 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.32 | +0.82 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.05 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 50.8% | 61.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.0% | 38.3% |
| Yards / Play | 5.73 | 8.82 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.21 | +0.54 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 35.7% | 70.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.02 | 2.71 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 47.6% | 29.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 23.8% | 12.5% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.6% | 5.0% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.3 | 34.8 |
| Plays | 59 | 60 |
| Total Yards | 338 | 529 |
| Total EPA | +11.1 | +31.3 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
DEN 49%51% IND
4.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.1 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Elam kicks onside 15 yards from DEN 30 to DEN 45. N.Rogers to DEN 45 for no gain. PENALTY on DEN-N.Fergus… — IND +1.3
Kickoffs · DEN +0.4Punts · IND +1.1Kicks · DEN +0.4
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake PlummerQB | 37 | 24/34 | 260 | 7.0 | +11.7 | +0.32 | — | 57% | -0.06 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatum BellRB | 12 | 49 | 4.1 | +1.4 | +0.11 | 42% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Reuben DroughnsRB | 8 | 29 | 3.6 | -1.1 | -0.14 | 38% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Jake PlummerQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.3 | -1.29 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeb PutzierTE | 3 | 3 | 67 | 22.3 | +10.3 | +3.43 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Rod SmithWR | 7 | 7 | 99 | 14.1 | +8.8 | +1.26 | 100% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Reuben DroughnsRB | 4 | 4 | 28 | 7.0 | +2.4 | +0.60 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ashley LelieWR | 2 | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | +1.6 | +0.81 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Dwayne CarswellOT | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | +1.3 | +1.31 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Darius WattsWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.8 | +0.85 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Tatum BellRB | 4 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | +0.2 | +0.05 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Patrick HapeTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.07 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason ElamK | 1/1(33) | 33 | 3/3 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| Jason BakerP | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason BakerP | 4 | 150 | 37.5 | 35.3 | 46 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecil SappRB | 4 | 86 | 21.5 | 25 | 0 |
| Triandos LukeWR | 1 | 41 | 41.0 | 41 | 0 |
| Reuben DroughnsRB | 2 | 36 | 18.0 | 26 | 0 |
| Charlie AdamsWR | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | 25 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triandos LukeWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Charlie AdamsWR | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 34 | 27/33 | 453 | 13.3 | +27.8 | +0.82 | — | 71% | +0.28 | 4 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +2.6 | +2.65 | 100% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | +0.6 | +0.12 | 40% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 18 | 63 | 3.5 | -0.7 | -0.04 | 44% | -0.03 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie WayneWR | 10 | 10 | 221 | 22.1 | +19.4 | +1.94 | 90% | +0.22 | 2 |
| Dallas ClarkTE | 6 | 6 | 112 | 18.7 | +9.6 | +1.59 | 100% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 4 | 4 | 50 | 12.5 | +2.6 | +0.66 | 75% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Brandon StokleyWR | 2 | 2 | 33 | 16.5 | +2.4 | +1.19 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| James MungroRB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +2.0 | +2.02 | 100% | +0.03 | 1 |
| Marcus PollardTE | 2 | 2 | 28 | 14.0 | +1.8 | +0.92 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.6 | +0.30 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike VanderjagtK | — | — | 7/7 | — | — | 7 |
| Martin GramaticaK | — | — | — | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 2 | 76 | 38.0 | 38.5 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic RhodesRB | 1 | 36 | 36.0 | 36 | 0 |
| James MungroRB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy WaltersWR | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 9 | 0 |