Buccaneers
20–17
TB @ NO
Saints
Final · Sun, Oct 10, 2004 · 2004 Week 5 · Louisiana Superdome
Ground Share
Buccaneers had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
TB 57%43% NO
49.0%GROUND36.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Griese | 22 | +0.31 | 54.5% | 13.6% | +6.9 | — | — | — | — |
| A.Brooks | 23 | -0.15 | 34.8% | 0.0% | -3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | TB | NO |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.09 | -0.19 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.19 | -0.15 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | -0.19 |
| Success Rate | 41.8% | 38.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 23.6% | 25.4% |
| Yards / Play | 5.89 | 4.56 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.13 | -0.18 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.2 | 7.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.32 | 3.71 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 45.5% | 48.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 4.5% | 17.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.9% | 16.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 26.6 | 32.0 |
| Plays | 55 | 55 |
| Total Yards | 324 | 251 |
| Total EPA | +5.1 | -10.7 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Saints had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
TB 37%63% NO
4.7 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.0 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Gramatica 41 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Left — NO +3.3
Kickoffs · TB +1.6Punts · NO +2.2Kicks · NO +2.7
Player Stats
TB
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian GrieseQB | 22 | 16/19 | 178 | 8.1 | +6.9 | +0.31 | — | 55% | +0.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Chris SimmsQB | 9 | 5/8 | 60 | 6.7 | -1.0 | -0.11 | — | 44% | -0.07 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael ClaytonWR | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +2.9 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Brian GrieseQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.2 | -0.16 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Mike AlstottFB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | -0.8 | -0.20 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 15 | 51 | 3.4 | -1.6 | -0.11 | 27% | +0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles LeeWR | 4 | 4 | 76 | 19.0 | +6.4 | +1.59 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Michael ClaytonWR | 4 | 4 | 61 | 15.3 | +6.2 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Ken DilgerTE | 3 | 3 | 60 | 20.0 | +4.8 | +1.61 | 100% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Greg ComellaRB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.0 | +0.96 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Will HellerTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +0.8 | +0.80 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Michael PittmanRB | 5 | 5 | 29 | 5.8 | +0.6 | +0.12 | 60% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Mike AlstottFB | 2 | 2 | 7 | 3.5 | -0.4 | -0.22 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Tim BrownWR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.5 | -0.47 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin GramaticaK | 2/3(23, 53 · missed 41) | 53 | 2/2 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh BidwellP | 3 | 139 | 46.3 | 38.0 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torrie CoxDB | 4 | 108 | 27.0 | 42 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim BrownWR | 4 | 5 | 1.3 | 5 | 0 |
NO
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron BrooksQB | 23 | 11/23 | 106 | 4.6 | -3.5 | -0.15 | — | 35% | -0.06 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike KarneyFB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.1 | -0.08 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Aaron BrooksQB | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | -0.2 | -0.06 | 67% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 4 | 27 | 6.8 | -0.5 | -0.13 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Deuce McAllisterRB | 21 | 102 | 4.9 | -5.0 | -0.24 | 43% | -0.30 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe HornWR | 4 | 4 | 40 | 10.0 | +5.7 | +1.43 | 100% | +0.24 | 1 |
| Boo WilliamsTE | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +4.2 | +2.12 | 100% | +0.15 | 1 |
| Donte' StallworthWR | 1 | 1 | 27 | 27.0 | +1.6 | +1.61 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 4 | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | -1.9 | -0.46 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John CarneyK | 1/1(47) | 47 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch BergerP | 5 | 220 | 44.0 | 43.0 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael L. LewisWR | 3 | 37 | 12.3 | 20 | 0 |
| Aaron SteckerRB | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 14 | 0 |
| Lamont HallTE | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael L. LewisWR | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | 11 | 0 |