Patriots
31–17
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Oct 3, 2004 · 2004 Week 4 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 55%45% BUF
58.1%GROUND46.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 30 | +0.69 | 60.0% | 0.0% | +20.8 | — | — | — | — |
| D.Bledsoe | 37 | -0.32 | 40.5% | 18.9% | -11.7 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.27 | -0.16 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.69 | -0.32 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.17 | -0.00 |
| Success Rate | 50.8% | 39.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 27.9% | 22.7% |
| Yards / Play | 6.52 | 5.11 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.14 | +0.11 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 26.3% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.3 | 7.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.04 | 4.08 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 48.0% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.0% | 7.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 23.9 | 28.0 |
| Plays | 61 | 66 |
| Total Yards | 398 | 337 |
| Total EPA | +16.6 | -10.5 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 2 |
Special Teams
Bills won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NE 27%73% BUF
5.0 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS13.6 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Vinatieri kicks 68 yards from NE 30 to BUF 2. T.McGee for 98 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Key block: J.Dorenbos — BUF +5.7
Kickoffs · BUF +7.9Punts · BUF +1.4Kicks · NE +0.7
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 30 | 17/30 | 298 | 9.9 | +20.8 | +0.69 | — | 60% | +0.64 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.1 | -0.15 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Patrick PassRB | 5 | 18 | 3.6 | -1.0 | -0.19 | 60% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Corey DillonRB | 19 | 79 | 4.2 | -2.9 | -0.15 | 42% | -0.15 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David PattenWR | 5 | 5 | 113 | 22.6 | +10.3 | +2.05 | 100% | +0.34 | 1 |
| David GivensWR | 4 | 4 | 86 | 21.5 | +7.4 | +1.85 | 100% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 2 | 2 | 35 | 17.5 | +4.4 | +2.19 | 100% | +0.22 | 1 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 2 | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | +2.7 | +1.33 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +2.4 | +2.35 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Corey DillonRB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | +1.4 | +0.45 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 1/1(42) | 42 | 4/4 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh MillerP | 4 | 198 | 49.5 | 39.0 | 61 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 4 | 96 | 24.0 | 40 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone PooleDB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 37 | 18/30 | 199 | 5.4 | -11.7 | -0.32 | — | 41% | -0.34 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 1 | 34 | 34.0 | +3.4 | +3.41 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.3 | +0.32 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 24 | 98 | 4.1 | -2.0 | -0.08 | 33% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric MouldsWR | 10 | 10 | 126 | 12.6 | +8.7 | +0.87 | 70% | +0.16 | 1 |
| Lee EvansWR | 4 | 4 | 93 | 23.3 | +6.1 | +1.52 | 100% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Sam AikenWR | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +1.1 | +0.56 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.1 | +1.10 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Ryan NeufeldFB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | +0.5 | +0.53 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/1(33) | 33 | 2/2 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 5 | 256 | 51.2 | 43.2 | 63 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence McGeeCB | 4 | 176 | 44.0 | 98 | 1 |
| Daimon SheltonFB | 1 | 15 | 15.0 | 15 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate ClementsS | 2 | 22 | 11.0 | 13 | 0 |