Colts
24–27
IND @ NE
Patriots
Final · Thu, Sep 9, 2004 · 2004 Week 1 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 53%47% NE
65.4%GROUND56.9%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Manning | 30 | +0.34 | 40.0% | 3.3% | +10.2 | — | — | — | — |
| T.Brady | 39 | +0.45 | 56.4% | 5.1% | +17.5 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.19 | +0.26 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.34 | +0.45 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.01 | -0.16 |
| Success Rate | 55.8% | 49.1% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 35.1% | 28.1% |
| Yards / Play | 5.79 | 7.07 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.03 | +0.28 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 66.7% | 54.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.1 | 7.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.85 | 3.42 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 57.1% | 56.3% |
| Stuff Rate | 11.9% | 25.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.1% | 10.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 31.8 | 21.3 |
| Plays | 77 | 57 |
| Total Yards | 446 | 403 |
| Total EPA | +14.7 | +15.0 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
IND 47%53% NE
7.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS8.3 pts won
Biggest swing · H.Smith punts 30 yards to NE 26. D.Branch MUFFS catch, RECOVERED by IND-J.Nelson at NE 33. J.Nelson to NE 3… — IND +4.4
Kickoffs · NE +1.4Punts · IND +4.9Kicks · NE +4.4
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 30 | 16/29 | 244 | 8.1 | +10.2 | +0.34 | — | 40% | +0.15 | 2 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic RhodesRB | 10 | 42 | 4.2 | +3.0 | +0.30 | 70% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Peyton ManningQB | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +2.9 | +1.47 | 50% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 30 | 142 | 4.7 | -6.4 | -0.21 | 60% | -0.59 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon StokleyWR | 4 | 4 | 77 | 19.3 | +9.6 | +2.40 | 100% | +0.48 | 1 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 7 | 7 | 44 | 6.3 | +6.5 | +0.93 | 71% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Dallas ClarkTE | 1 | 1 | 64 | 64.0 | +3.9 | +3.92 | 100% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 1 | 1 | 42 | 42.0 | +3.1 | +3.10 | 100% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 3 | 3 | 29 | 9.7 | +1.4 | +0.46 | 33% | +0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike VanderjagtK | 1/2(32 · missed 48) | 32 | 3/3 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 2 | 82 | 41.0 | 38.0 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic RhodesRB | 4 | 89 | 22.3 | 27 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad PyattWR | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 13 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 39 | 26/37 | 320 | 8.2 | +17.4 | +0.45 | — | 56% | +0.49 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey DillonRB | 15 | 86 | 5.7 | -0.3 | -0.02 | 33% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | -3 | -3.0 | -1.9 | -1.90 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion BranchWR | 7 | 7 | 86 | 12.3 | +9.4 | +1.34 | 71% | +0.36 | 1 |
| David PattenWR | 4 | 4 | 86 | 21.5 | +8.8 | +2.20 | 100% | +0.28 | 1 |
| David GivensWR | 4 | 4 | 80 | 20.0 | +4.9 | +1.22 | 100% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 7 | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | +3.1 | +0.44 | 86% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Benjamin WatsonTE | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +1.3 | +0.67 | 50% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.9 | +0.94 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | +0.00 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 2/2(32, 43) | 43 | 3/3 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh MillerP | 3 | 142 | 47.3 | 40.7 | 52 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 5 | 107 | 21.4 | 34 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrone PooleDB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |