Colts
14–24
IND @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Jan 18, 2004 · 2003 Conference Championship · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 43%57% NE
41.7%GROUND55.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Manning | 51 | -0.36 | 33.3% | 7.8% | -18.5 | — | — | — | — |
| T.Brady | 37 | +0.01 | 51.3% | 0.0% | +0.4 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.13 | -0.05 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.36 | +0.01 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.39 | -0.12 |
| Success Rate | 38.2% | 39.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 28.9% | 25.0% |
| Yards / Play | 4.03 | 5.16 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.06 | +0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.1% | 41.2% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.9 | 4.7 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.16 | 2.83 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.0% | 36.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 8.0% | 26.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 11.8% | 14.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 33.3 | 42.1 |
| Plays | 76 | 68 |
| Total Yards | 306 | 351 |
| Total EPA | -10.1 | -3.4 |
| Giveaways | 5 | 2 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
IND 46%54% NE
4.5 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS5.3 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Vinatieri kicks 55 yards from NE 30 to IND 15. D.Rhodes to IND 48 for 33 yards — IND +1.3
Kickoffs · NE +0.6Punts · IND +1.2Kicks · NE +1.5
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 51 | 23/47 | 208 | 4.1 | -18.5 | -0.36 | — | 33% | -0.36 | 1 | 4 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 19 | 78 | 4.1 | +9.7 | +0.51 | 58% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 3 | 16 | 5.3 | +0.3 | +0.10 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Peyton ManningQB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.27 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Hunter SmithP | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.1 | -1.09 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus PollardTE | 6 | 6 | 90 | 15.0 | +9.3 | +1.56 | 100% | +0.18 | 1 |
| Troy WaltersWR | 3 | 3 | 30 | 10.0 | +4.2 | +1.39 | 67% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 4 | 4 | 46 | 11.5 | +3.3 | +0.82 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | +1.6 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Brandon StokleyWR | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.9 | +0.29 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6.5 | +0.5 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 3 | 3 | 19 | 6.3 | -2.2 | -0.74 | 67% | -0.06 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike VanderjagtK | — | — | 2/2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Hunter SmithP | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter SmithP | 1 | 55 | 55.0 | 39.0 | 55 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic RhodesRB | 5 | 121 | 24.2 | 33 | 0 |
| Ricky WilliamsRB | 1 | 13 | 13.0 | 13 | 0 |
| Tupe PekoG | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 11 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy WaltersWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 37 | 22/37 | 237 | 6.4 | +0.4 | +0.01 | — | 51% | +0.19 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | +2.1 | +0.70 | 33% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.28 | 0% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -1.63 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 3 | 8 | 2.7 | -1.9 | -0.64 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 22 | 100 | 4.5 | -2.7 | -0.12 | 23% | +0.03 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 7 | 7 | 88 | 12.6 | +10.0 | +1.42 | 100% | +0.19 | 0 |
| David GivensWR | 8 | 8 | 68 | 8.5 | +5.1 | +0.63 | 88% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Deion BranchWR | 2 | 2 | 23 | 11.5 | +3.3 | +1.64 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | +1.6 | +1.62 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.9 | +0.91 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +0.6 | +0.55 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -3.0 | -2.96 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 5/5(31, 25, 27, 21, 34) | 34 | 1/1 | 7 | 0 | 16 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 2 | 74 | 37.0 | 27.0 | 44 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick PassRB | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 21 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |