Broncos
10–41
DEN @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Jan 4, 2004 · 2003 Wild Card · RCA Dome
Ground Share
Colts controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
DEN 37%63% IND
50.1%GROUND86.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.Plummer | 32 | -0.19 | 46.9% | 6.3% | -6.1 | — | — | — | — |
| P.Manning | 26 | +1.15 | 69.2% | 0.0% | +29.8 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.09 | +0.39 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.19 | +0.89 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | -0.28 |
| Success Rate | 50.0% | 53.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.3% | 35.2% |
| Yards / Play | 5.03 | 8.87 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.20 | +0.24 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 46.2% | 66.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 8.4 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 4.24 | 3.00 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 65.4% | 52.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.4% | 17.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 12.5% | 9.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.6 | 38.6 |
| Plays | 64 | 54 |
| Total Yards | 322 | 479 |
| Total EPA | -6.1 | +21.0 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 1 |
Special Teams
Colts had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
DEN 36%64% IND
3.4 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.2 pts won
Biggest swing · J.Elam 46 yard field goal is BLOCKED. IND - Brock deflected kick — IND +3.1
Kickoffs · IND +0.8Punts · IND +0.1Kicks · IND +1.9
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake PlummerQB | 32 | 23/30 | 176 | 5.5 | -6.0 | -0.19 | — | 47% | -0.18 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake PlummerQB | 3 | 18 | 6.0 | +5.4 | +1.81 | 100% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Quentin GriffinRB | 6 | 60 | 10.0 | -0.4 | -0.06 | 83% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Clinton PortisRB | 17 | 68 | 4.0 | -1.2 | -0.07 | 41% | -0.02 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod SmithWR | 5 | 5 | 66 | 13.2 | +6.5 | +1.31 | 60% | -0.03 | 1 |
| Ashley LelieWR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.5 | +1.49 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dwayne CarswellOT | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6.0 | +1.4 | +0.72 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Charlie AdamsWR | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +1.4 | +0.69 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Quentin GriffinRB | 2 | 2 | 18 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +0.49 | 100% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Clinton PortisRB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.8 | +0.82 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Reuben DroughnsRB | 5 | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | +0.4 | +0.07 | 40% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Shannon SharpeTE | 5 | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | -1.2 | -0.24 | 40% | -0.04 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason ElamK | 1/2(49 · blocked 46) | 49 | 1/1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Micah KnorrP | — | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah KnorrP | 2 | 84 | 42.0 | 32.0 | 44 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reuben DroughnsRB | 6 | 133 | 22.2 | 33 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 26 | 22/26 | 377 | 14.5 | +29.8 | +1.15 | — | 69% | +0.41 | 5 | 0 |
| Brock HuardQB | 5 | 4/5 | 17 | 3.4 | -2.3 | -0.47 | — | 20% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.78 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Ricky WilliamsRB | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -0.88 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 4 | 8 | 2.0 | -1.3 | -0.33 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 17 | 78 | 4.6 | -3.5 | -0.21 | 59% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon StokleyWR | 4 | 4 | 144 | 36.0 | +12.8 | +3.20 | 100% | +0.13 | 2 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 7 | 7 | 133 | 19.0 | +12.3 | +1.75 | 86% | +0.22 | 2 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 5 | 5 | 43 | 8.6 | +4.8 | +0.96 | 80% | +0.00 | 1 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 5 | 5 | 37 | 7.4 | +1.9 | +0.39 | 60% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Marcus PollardTE | 1 | 1 | 25 | 25.0 | +1.4 | +1.41 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Joe Dean DavenportTE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | +1.2 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Troy WaltersWR | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0.3 | -3.8 | -1.26 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike VanderjagtK | 2/2(27, 20) | 27 | 5/5 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky WilliamsRB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
| Dominic RhodesRB | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |