Bills
0–31
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sat, Dec 27, 2003 · 2003 Week 17 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
BUF 41%59% NE
35.8%GROUND51.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Bledsoe | 32 | -0.76 | 18.8% | 9.4% | -24.3 | — | — | — | — |
| T.Brady | 34 | +0.17 | 47.1% | 5.9% | +5.8 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.33 | +0.15 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.45 | +0.13 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.10 | +0.10 |
| Success Rate | 37.1% | 51.4% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.4% | 25.7% |
| Yards / Play | 3.66 | 4.63 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.32 | +0.07 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 45.0% | 61.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.2 | 6.2 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.26 | 3.61 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 45.0% | 35.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 15.0% | 3.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.3% | 5.7% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 34.9 | 37.5 |
| Plays | 70 | 70 |
| Total Yards | 256 | 324 |
| Total EPA | -23.2 | +10.4 |
| Giveaways | 4 | 1 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
BUF 58%42% NE
8.8 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.4 pts won
Biggest swing · A.Vinatieri 24 yard field goal is No Good, Hit Left Upright — BUF +3.7
Kickoffs · BUF +2.2Punts · NE +0.2Kicks · BUF +0.3
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis BrownQB | 15 | 11/14 | 112 | 7.5 | +2.9 | +0.19 | — | 53% | +0.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Drew BledsoeQB | 32 | 12/29 | 62 | 1.9 | -24.3 | -0.76 | — | 19% | -0.20 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy MorrisRB | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | +0.8 | +0.21 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Drew BledsoeQB | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | +0.5 | +0.49 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 15 | 62 | 4.1 | -3.3 | -0.22 | 47% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark CampbellTE | 2 | 2 | 44 | 22.0 | +4.0 | +2.01 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 5 | 5 | 40 | 8.0 | +2.9 | +0.57 | 40% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Dave MooreTE | 1 | 1 | 28 | 28.0 | +2.8 | +2.81 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Eric MouldsWR | 7 | 7 | 55 | 7.9 | +2.4 | +0.34 | 86% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Clarence ColemanWR | 3 | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | +1.8 | +0.58 | 67% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.3 | +1.29 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Sam GashFB | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.25 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | -0.8 | -0.41 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 0/1(missed 40) | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 4 | 168 | 42.0 | 32.8 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio BrownWR | 4 | 129 | 32.3 | 75 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | 16 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate ClementsS | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Pierson PrioleauS | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 34 | 21/32 | 190 | 5.6 | +5.8 | +0.17 | — | 47% | -0.01 | 4 | 0 |
| Damon HuardQB | 1 | 0/1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.40 | — | 0% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antowain SmithRB | 15 | 74 | 4.9 | +3.3 | +0.22 | 67% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 3 | 25 | 8.3 | +2.3 | +0.77 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | -0.1 | -0.02 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | -1.0 | -0.11 | 22% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GivensWR | 7 | 7 | 80 | 11.4 | +9.2 | +1.31 | 86% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Troy BrownWR | 5 | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | +6.4 | +1.28 | 100% | +0.05 | 1 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +2.4 | +2.38 | 100% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Deion BranchWR | 6 | 6 | 58 | 9.7 | +2.0 | +0.34 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +0.6 | +0.61 | 100% | -0.01 | 1 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 1/2(24 · missed 24) | 24 | 4/4 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 3 | 130 | 43.3 | 33.3 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 23 | 23.0 | 23 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 4 | 37 | 9.3 | 15 | 0 |