Jaguars
13–27
JAX @ NE
Patriots
Final · Sun, Dec 14, 2003 · 2003 Week 15 · Gillette Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
JAX 47%53% NE
39.4%GROUND44.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Leftwich | 41 | -0.12 | 34.2% | 2.4% | -5.1 | — | — | — | — |
| T.Brady | 36 | +0.20 | 44.4% | 5.6% | +7.1 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | JAX | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.08 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.12 | +0.20 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.03 | -0.26 |
| Success Rate | 37.7% | 40.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 18.0% | 22.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.80 | 4.23 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.16 | -0.19 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 42.9% | 50.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 7.6 | 8.4 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.17 | 2.20 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 55.0% | 37.5% |
| Stuff Rate | 5.0% | 21.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 13.1% | 11.4% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 25.2 | 44.9 |
| Plays | 61 | 70 |
| Total Yards | 354 | 296 |
| Total EPA | -4.9 | -1.1 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Patriots won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
JAX 23%77% NE
3.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS10.5 pts won
Biggest swing · S.Marler 34 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — NE +3.5
Kickoffs · NE +0.6Punts · NE +2.8Kicks · NE +3.9
Player Stats
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron LeftwichQB | 41 | 21/40 | 282 | 6.9 | -5.1 | -0.12 | — | 34% | -0.11 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron LeftwichQB | 3 | 10 | 3.3 | +0.8 | +0.26 | 67% | -0.02 | 0 |
| David AllenRB | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.0 | -0.04 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 16 | 57 | 3.6 | -0.5 | -0.03 | 44% | -0.10 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin JohnsonWR | 5 | 5 | 87 | 17.4 | +10.5 | +2.10 | 100% | +0.14 | 1 |
| Jimmy SmithWR | 2 | 2 | 73 | 36.5 | +4.4 | +2.18 | 50% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Marc EdwardsFB | 4 | 4 | 41 | 10.3 | +2.1 | +0.52 | 75% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Troy EdwardsWR | 1 | 1 | 17 | 17.0 | +2.1 | +2.06 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Chris LuzarTE | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +1.6 | +1.64 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| David AllenRB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | -0.1 | -0.14 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kyle BradyTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | -0.2 | -0.10 | 50% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 4 | 4 | 32 | 8.0 | -0.6 | -0.16 | 50% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Cortez HanktonWR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.7 | -0.73 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth MarlerK | 2/3(24, 23 · missed 34) | 24 | 1/1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark RoyalsP | 5 | 216 | 43.2 | 33.4 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David AllenRB | 6 | 147 | 24.5 | 36 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David AllenRB | 2 | -1 | -0.5 | 0 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 36 | 22/34 | 212 | 5.9 | +7.1 | +0.20 | — | 44% | +0.25 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.2 | +1.23 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Patrick PassRB | 2 | 3 | 1.5 | -0.6 | -0.30 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -1.5 | -1.46 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 11 | 34 | 3.1 | -2.1 | -0.19 | 36% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 17 | 39 | 2.3 | -6.4 | -0.38 | 24% | -0.05 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David GivensWR | 5 | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | +8.1 | +1.62 | 100% | +0.30 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 4 | 4 | 43 | 10.8 | +7.4 | +1.85 | 75% | +0.13 | 1 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 5 | 5 | 69 | 13.8 | +4.4 | +0.89 | 80% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16.0 | +2.3 | +2.27 | 100% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.4 | +1.37 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Dedric WardWR | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +0.7 | +0.73 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 3 | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -1.4 | -0.47 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 4.5 | -3.9 | -1.95 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 2/2(22, 31) | 31 | 3/3 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 4 | 161 | 40.3 | 40.5 | 51 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | 21 | 0 |
| David GivensWR | 1 | 11 | 11.0 | 11 | 0 |
| Tedy BruschiILB | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 9 | 0 |
| Larry IzzoLB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 5 | 49 | 9.8 | 18 | 0 |