Colts
17–14
IND @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Nov 23, 2003 · 2003 Week 12 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
IND 57%43% BUF
43.1%GROUND32.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Manning | 44 | +0.09 | +4.2 | — | 60.5% | — | — |
| D.Bledsoe | 30 | -0.31 | -9.4 | — | 53.6% | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.06 | -0.02 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.07 | -0.31 |
| EPA / Rush | +0.02 | +0.29 |
| Success Rate | 51.3% | 36.2% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 21.6% | 24.1% |
| Yards / Play | 4.42 | 3.95 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.03 | -0.21 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 57.9% | 37.5% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 4.7 | 8.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.08 | 2.98 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 41.4% | 34.6% |
| Stuff Rate | 10.3% | 26.9% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 10.8% | 10.3% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.2 | 30.2 |
| Plays | 74 | 58 |
| Total Yards | 327 | 229 |
| Total EPA | +4.7 | -1.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 1 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 43 | 26/42 | 223 | 5.2 | +3.1 | +0.07 | — | 49% | +0.13 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 28 | 108 | 3.9 | +2.1 | +0.08 | 57% | -0.01 | 2 |
| Peyton ManningQB | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.5 | -1.51 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron MooreheadWR | 5 | 5 | 71 | 14.2 | +7.1 | +1.43 | 100% | +0.30 | 0 |
| Reggie WayneWR | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | +4.6 | +1.15 | 100% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 6 | 6 | 47 | 7.8 | +4.3 | +0.72 | 83% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 6 | 6 | 39 | 6.5 | +1.0 | +0.16 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Ricky WilliamsRB | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8.0 | +0.4 | +0.20 | 50% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Dallas ClarkTE | 3 | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | -0.1 | -0.05 | 67% | +0.02 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 30 | 15/28 | 118 | 3.9 | -9.4 | -0.31 | — | 33% | -0.45 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 1 | 21 | 21.0 | +4.3 | +4.35 | 100% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +2.9 | +2.88 | 100% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Drew BledsoeQB | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | +1.2 | +0.61 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Travis HenryRB | 22 | 77 | 3.5 | -0.3 | -0.01 | 27% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby ShawWR | 2 | 2 | 27 | 13.5 | +3.3 | +1.65 | 100% | +0.10 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 3 | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +2.4 | +0.79 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Eric MouldsWR | 3 | 3 | 38 | 12.7 | +2.0 | +0.66 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 7.7 | -0.3 | -0.10 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 4 | 4 | 21 | 5.3 | -0.3 | -0.09 | 25% | +0.01 | 0 |