Patriots
30–26
NE @ DEN
Broncos
Final · Mon, Nov 3, 2003 · 2003 Week 9 · Invesco Field at Mile High
Ground Share
Patriots had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
NE 57%43% DEN
41.1%GROUND30.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 35 | +0.58 | 54.3% | 0.0% | +20.2 | — | — | — | — |
| D.Kanell | 35 | -0.09 | 37.1% | 0.0% | -3.1 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric |  NE |  DEN |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.20 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.58 | -0.09 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.33 | -0.09 |
| Success Rate | 46.7% | 35.9% |
| Pass | 54.3% | 37.1% |
| Rush | 36.0% | 34.5% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 11.7% | 7.8% |
| Pass | 14.3% | 5.7% |
| Rush | 8.0% | 10.3% |
| Yards / Play | 7.00 | 4.33 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.29 | -0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 23.1% | 28.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.5 | 6.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.26 | 3.23 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 32.0% | 51.7% |
| Stuff Rate | 28.0% | 17.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 16.7% | 12.5% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 27.1 | 30.1 |
| Plays | 60 | 64 |
| Total Yards | 420 | 277 |
| Total EPA | +11.8 | -5.6 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 1 |
Special Teams
Special teams were a wash
NE 53%47% DEN
13.2 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS11.8 pts won
Biggest swing · K.Walter punts 37 yards to DEN 43. D.O'Neal for 57 yards, TOUCHDOWN — DEN +4.9
Kickoffs · NE +3.3Punts · DEN +7.2Kicks · NE +5.3
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 35 | 20/35 | 350 | 10.0 | +20.2 | +0.58 | — | 54% | +0.75 | 3 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | +0.0 | +0.01 | 100% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 17 | 55 | 3.2 | -1.1 | -0.07 | 41% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | -5 | -5.0 | -1.4 | -1.41 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 5 | 20 | 4.0 | -1.5 | -0.30 | 20% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -4.3 | -4.27 | 0% | -0.13 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion BranchWR | 3 | 3 | 107 | 35.7 | +10.2 | +3.39 | 100% | +0.24 | 1 |
| David GivensWR | 3 | 3 | 87 | 29.0 | +8.7 | +2.91 | 100% | +0.49 | 1 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 4 | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | +4.6 | +1.15 | 75% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 5 | 5 | 52 | 10.4 | +3.4 | +0.68 | 100% | +0.32 | 0 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 2 | 2 | 30 | 15.0 | +2.2 | +1.10 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 2 | 2 | 26 | 13.0 | +1.0 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Fred McCraryRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.0 | +1.02 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 3/3(40, 46, 28) | 46 | 3/3 | 7 | 0 | 12 |
| Ken WalterP | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 5 | 167 | 33.4 | 21.4 | 42 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 3 | 100 | 33.3 | 63 | 0 |
| Patrick PassRB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion BranchWR | 4 | 15 | 3.8 | 10 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | 9 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 6 | 0 |
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/DB | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny KanellQB | 35 | 16/35 | 163 | 4.7 | -3.1 | -0.09 | — | 37% | -0.23 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton PortisRB | 26 | 111 | 4.3 | -1.2 | -0.05 | 39% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Quentin GriffinRB | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | -1.3 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rod SmithWR | 4 | 4 | 58 | 14.5 | +3.8 | +0.96 | 100% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Ashley LelieWR | 3 | 3 | 22 | 7.3 | +2.8 | +0.94 | 100% | +0.14 | 0 |
| Shannon SharpeTE | 3 | 3 | 44 | 14.7 | +2.6 | +0.86 | 67% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Chris ColeWR | 1 | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | +2.2 | +2.17 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Mike AndersonRB | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +1.1 | +1.09 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Clinton PortisRB | 4 | 4 | 20 | 5.0 | -0.5 | -0.13 | 25% | -0.03 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason ElamK | 1/2(43 · missed 44) | 43 | 1/1 | — | — | 4 |
| Micah KnorrP | — | — | 2/2 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah KnorrP | 8 | 336 | 42.0 | 35.8 | 51 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris ColeWR | 6 | 141 | 23.5 | 28 | 0 |
| Mike AndersonRB | 1 | 14 | 14.0 | 14 | 0 |
| Deltha O'NealCB | 1 | -1 | -1.0 | -1 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deltha O'NealCB | 4 | 60 | 15.0 | 57 | 1 |