Patriots
0–31
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Sep 7, 2003 · 2003 Week 1 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
NE 40%60% BUF
28.2%GROUND42.1%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 31 | -0.76 | 32.3% | 6.5% | -23.7 | — | — | — | — |
| D.Bledsoe | 30 | +0.32 | 50.0% | 6.7% | +9.5 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.38 | +0.04 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.65 | +0.32 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.30 | -0.28 |
| Success Rate | 42.2% | 40.3% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 12.5% | 22.4% |
| Yards / Play | 3.73 | 4.76 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.42 | -0.01 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.5% | 46.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 7.9 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.67 | 2.63 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 61.9% | 39.4% |
| Stuff Rate | 23.8% | 18.2% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 20.3% | 11.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 29.4 | 24.3 |
| Plays | 64 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 239 | 319 |
| Total EPA | -24.1 | +3.0 |
| Giveaways | 4 | 2 |
Special Teams
Bills had the edge in the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 56% of the time
NE 38%62% BUF
3.9 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS6.2 pts won
Biggest swing · B.Moorman punts 71 yards to NE 7. T.Brown to NE 28 for 21 yards. PENALTY on NE-L.Izzo, Illegal Block Above… — BUF +1.7
Kickoffs · NE +0.6Punts · BUF +1.8Kicks · BUF +1.2
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rohan DaveyQB | 6 | 3/6 | 31 | 5.2 | -0.6 | -0.09 | — | 33% | +0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom BradyQB | 31 | 14/29 | 103 | 3.3 | -23.6 | -0.76 | — | 32% | -0.20 | 0 | 4 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin FaulkRB | 10 | 62 | 6.2 | +1.1 | +0.11 | 70% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 5 | 36 | 7.2 | +0.1 | +0.01 | 60% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | -6.7 | -1.11 | 17% | -0.06 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David PattenWR | 2 | 2 | 48 | 24.0 | +3.1 | +1.55 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.9 | +1.92 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | +1.3 | +1.34 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.2 | +1.16 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 4 | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | +1.1 | +0.28 | 75% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +1.0 | +0.52 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +0.5 | +0.51 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 4 | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | -0.3 | -0.07 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.5 | -0.46 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | — | — | — | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 5 | 208 | 41.6 | 41.0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin FaulkRB | 4 | 84 | 21.0 | 30 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 2 | 44 | 22.0 | 28 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy BrownWR | 3 | 37 | 12.3 | 16 | 0 |
| Bethel JohnsonWR | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 30 | 17/28 | 215 | 7.2 | +9.5 | +0.32 | — | 50% | +0.26 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy MorrisRB | 2 | 14 | 7.0 | +0.9 | +0.44 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Joe BurnsRB | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | -0.5 | -0.25 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Drew BledsoeQB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -2.4 | -2.37 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 28 | 86 | 3.1 | -5.6 | -0.20 | 32% | -0.14 | 2 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bobby ShawWR | 3 | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | +5.6 | +1.86 | 100% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Eric MouldsWR | 4 | 4 | 81 | 20.3 | +5.0 | +1.26 | 75% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 3 | 3 | 37 | 12.3 | +3.1 | +1.03 | 100% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 2 | 2 | 25 | 12.5 | +2.2 | +1.10 | 50% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Dave MooreTE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +2.1 | +2.14 | 100% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Mark CampbellTE | 3 | 3 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.4 | +0.47 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | +0.7 | +0.69 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rian LindellK | 1/1(44) | 44 | 4/4 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 4 | 226 | 56.5 | 46.8 | 71 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy MorrisRB | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | 20 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio BrownWR | 4 | 3 | 0.8 | 8 | 0 |