Patriots
38–7
NE @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Nov 3, 2002 · 2002 Week 9 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Patriots controlled more of the field
Teams with this edge win 86% of the time
NE 61%39% BUF
81.8%GROUND52.3%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
Expected Points
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Success% | Sack% | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.Brady | 27 | +0.95 | 70.4% | 3.7% | +25.8 | — | — | — | — |
| D.Bledsoe | 49 | -0.04 | 42.9% | 8.2% | -2.0 | — | — | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.45 | -0.04 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.95 | -0.04 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.01 | +0.09 |
| Success Rate | 55.6% | 44.8% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 39.7% | 20.9% |
| Yards / Play | 6.71 | 4.94 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | +0.21 | -0.07 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 66.7% | 41.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.5 | 10.6 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.39 | 3.58 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 37.1% | 46.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 14.3% | 15.4% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 6.3% | 14.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 35.4 | 29.7 |
| Plays | 63 | 67 |
| Total Yards | 423 | 331 |
| Total EPA | +28.3 | -2.7 |
| Giveaways | 0 | 1 |
Special Teams
Patriots won the kicking game
Teams with this edge win 63% of the time
NE 80%20% BUF
14.1 pts wonSPECIAL TEAMS3.6 pts won
Biggest swing · M.Hollis 25 yard field goal is No Good, Wide Right — NE +3.5
Kickoffs · BUF +2.4Punts · NE +1.7Kicks · NE +11.2
Player Stats
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom BradyQB | 27 | 22/26 | 263 | 9.7 | +25.8 | +0.95 | — | 70% | +0.32 | 3 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin FaulkRB | 4 | 53 | 13.3 | +5.0 | +1.26 | 50% | +0.07 | 1 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | -4 | -4.0 | -1.2 | -1.22 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Marc EdwardsFB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.7 | -1.69 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 29 | 111 | 3.8 | -2.5 | -0.09 | 45% | +0.01 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antowain SmithRB | 6 | 5 | 31 | 5.2 | +7.0 | +1.18 | 50% | +0.01 | 2 |
| David PattenWR | 6 | 6 | 88 | 14.7 | +6.8 | +1.13 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Daniel GrahamTE | 3 | 3 | 68 | 22.7 | +5.4 | +1.79 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 1 | 19 | 19.0 | +2.5 | +2.53 | 100% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 5 | 3 | 38 | 7.6 | +2.3 | +0.46 | 60% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Christian FauriaTE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4.0 | +1.9 | +0.97 | 100% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Marc EdwardsFB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +1.3 | +1.26 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Cameron CleelandTE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | -0.3 | -0.25 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam VinatieriK | 1/1(46) | 46 | 5/5 | 7 | 0 | 8 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken WalterP | 1 | 36 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 36 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion BranchWR | 2 | 39 | 19.5 | 20 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion BranchWR | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
| Kevin FaulkRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 49 | 28/45 | 266 | 5.4 | -2.0 | -0.04 | — | 43% | -0.05 | 1 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | +1.4 | +1.44 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | +0.5 | +0.49 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 11 | 53 | 4.8 | -0.8 | -0.07 | 46% | -0.01 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peerless PriceWR | 13 | 9 | 98 | 7.5 | +7.9 | +0.61 | 62% | +0.12 | 1 |
| Sammy MorrisRB | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16.0 | +3.0 | +1.51 | 100% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Josh ReedWR | 3 | 2 | 24 | 8.0 | +0.5 | +0.18 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Larry CentersFB | 8 | 6 | 56 | 7.0 | +0.4 | +0.05 | 38% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Dave MooreTE | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6.0 | -0.2 | -0.12 | 50% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Travis HenryRB | 3 | 3 | 12 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -0.12 | 33% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jay RiemersmaTE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.8 | -0.83 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Eric MouldsWR | 12 | 5 | 68 | 5.7 | -7.2 | -0.60 | 33% | +0.02 | 0 |
Kicking
| Player | FG | Long | XP | KO | TB | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike HollisK | 0/3(missed 50, 25, 45) | — | 1/1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Punting
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Net | Long | In 20 | TB | Blk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian MoormanP | 3 | 93 | 31.0 | 25.0 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Kick returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie RogersRB | 5 | 107 | 21.4 | 28 | 0 |
| Phillip CrosbyFB | 1 | 18 | 18.0 | 18 | 0 |
Punt returns
| Player | No | Yds | Avg | Long | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie RogersRB | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 |