Colts
6–31
IND @ BUF
Bills
Final · Sun, Jan 2, 2000 · 1999 Week 17 · Ralph Wilson Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
IND 34%66% BUF
34.9%GROUND66.5%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.Manning | 29 | +0.08 | +2.4 | — | 62.1% | — | — |
| R.Johnson | 32 | +0.58 | +18.7 | — | 75.0% | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | IND | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.13 | +0.42 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.13 | +0.58 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.20 | +0.07 |
| Success Rate | 31.6% | 59.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 19.3% | 27.9% |
| Yards / Play | 3.96 | 6.92 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.07 | +0.30 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 40.0% | 63.6% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 6.6 | 4.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 1.72 | 3.78 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 36.8% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 31.6% | 7.1% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 17.5% | 1.6% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 28.0 | 29.4 |
| Plays | 57 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 226 | 422 |
| Total EPA | -7.5 | +25.4 |
| Giveaways | 1 | 0 |
Player Stats
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 29 | 18/29 | 163 | 5.6 | +2.4 | +0.08 | — | 38% | +0.12 | 0 | 0 |
| Steve WalshQB | 8 | 3/8 | 19 | 2.4 | -7.4 | -0.92 | — | 13% | +0.00 | 0 | 1 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith EliasRB | 1 | -6 | -6.0 | -1.0 | -0.99 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 18 | 50 | 2.8 | -2.8 | -0.16 | 28% | -0.05 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ken DilgerTE | 7 | 5 | 52 | 7.4 | +3.6 | +0.52 | 57% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 5 | 4 | 51 | 10.2 | +2.4 | +0.47 | 60% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Marcus PollardTE | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3.0 | -0.5 | -0.16 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 6 | 4 | 33 | 5.5 | -0.9 | -0.15 | 33% | +0.04 | 0 |
| E.G. GreenWR | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 | -1.4 | -0.48 | 0% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Keith EliasRB | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | -2.1 | -0.69 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Terrence WilkinsWR | 8 | 3 | 25 | 3.1 | -4.6 | -0.57 | 38% | +0.03 | 0 |
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob JohnsonQB | 32 | 24/32 | 287 | 9.0 | +18.7 | +0.58 | — | 63% | +0.29 | 2 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob JohnsonQB | 4 | 39 | 9.8 | +4.0 | +1.00 | 100% | +0.03 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 3 | 31 | 10.3 | +2.9 | +0.95 | 67% | +0.04 | 1 |
| Jonathan LintonFB | 18 | 60 | 3.3 | +1.2 | +0.07 | 50% | +0.01 | 1 |
| Lennox GordonRB | 3 | 5 | 1.7 | -2.3 | -0.77 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric MouldsWR | 11 | 8 | 110 | 10.0 | +7.1 | +0.65 | 73% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Peerless PriceWR | 2 | 2 | 31 | 15.5 | +4.9 | +2.44 | 100% | +0.09 | 1 |
| Kevin R. WilliamsWR | 3 | 2 | 53 | 17.7 | +2.4 | +0.79 | 67% | +0.09 | 0 |
| Bobby CollinsTE | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2.7 | +2.2 | +0.72 | 67% | +0.02 | 1 |
| Jonathan LintonFB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +1.2 | +1.20 | 100% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Jay RiemersmaTE | 3 | 2 | 28 | 9.3 | +0.9 | +0.29 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Sheldon JacksonTE | 3 | 2 | 22 | 7.3 | +0.8 | +0.25 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Andre ReedWR | 6 | 5 | 23 | 3.8 | -0.7 | -0.11 | 33% | +0.00 | 0 |