Bills
13–10
BUF @ NE
Patriots
Final/OT · Sun, Dec 26, 1999 · 1999 Week 16 · Foxboro Stadium
Ground Share
Bills controlled the field
Teams with this edge win 94% of the time
BUF 64%36% NE
43.0%GROUND24.6%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Flutie | 38 | +0.01 | +0.2 | — | 62.9% | — | — |
| D.Bledsoe | 26 | -0.54 | -14.0 | — | 50.0% | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | NE |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.16 | -0.35 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.01 | -0.54 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.50 | -0.32 |
| Success Rate | 40.2% | 30.6% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 17.1% | 19.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.57 | 3.63 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.24 | -0.25 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 50.0% | 18.8% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 5.6 | 7.8 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 3.15 | 3.34 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.0% | 41.2% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.5% | 17.6% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 32.9 | 39.1 |
| Plays | 82 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 375 | 225 |
| Total EPA | -12.8 | -21.8 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 1 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug FlutieQB | 38 | 22/35 | 206 | 5.4 | +0.2 | +0.01 | — | 40% | +0.38 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug FlutieQB | 5 | 45 | 9.0 | +4.3 | +0.85 | 80% | +0.11 | 0 |
| Thurman ThomasRB | 15 | 84 | 5.6 | -2.1 | -0.14 | 53% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Jonathan LintonFB | 20 | 40 | 2.0 | -14.2 | -0.71 | 25% | -0.48 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peerless PriceWR | 8 | 5 | 62 | 7.8 | +3.7 | +0.47 | 50% | +0.22 | 0 |
| Kevin R. WilliamsWR | 3 | 2 | 24 | 8.0 | +1.7 | +0.58 | 67% | +0.13 | 0 |
| Sam GashFB | 4 | 3 | 19 | 4.8 | +1.1 | +0.27 | 50% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Bobby CollinsTE | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5.5 | +0.3 | +0.13 | 50% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Jay RiemersmaTE | 9 | 6 | 39 | 4.3 | +0.1 | +0.02 | 44% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Jonathan LintonFB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4.0 | -0.1 | -0.09 | 0% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Thurman ThomasRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.64 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Eric MouldsWR | 6 | 4 | 53 | 8.8 | -1.0 | -0.16 | 33% | +0.12 | 0 |
| Andre ReedWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.0 | -0.99 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
NE
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 26 | 10/20 | 67 | 2.6 | -14.0 | -0.54 | — | 19% | -0.60 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew BledsoeQB | 3 | 26 | 8.7 | +1.2 | +0.41 | 67% | +0.01 | 0 |
| Harold ShawFB | 4 | 6 | 1.5 | -1.3 | -0.33 | 25% | -0.13 | 0 |
| Terry AllenRB | 27 | 126 | 4.7 | -9.4 | -0.35 | 33% | -0.59 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben CoatesTE | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20.0 | +1.5 | +1.47 | 100% | +0.15 | 0 |
| Harold ShawFB | 3 | 2 | 31 | 10.3 | +1.4 | +0.48 | 33% | +0.08 | 0 |
| Vincent BrisbyWR | 6 | 4 | 45 | 7.5 | +1.1 | +0.18 | 50% | -0.03 | 0 |
| Terry AllenRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.4 | -1.44 | 0% | -0.05 | 0 |
| Shawn JeffersonWR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.8 | -0.92 | 0% | -0.09 | 0 |
| Troy BrownWR | 2 | 1 | -3 | -1.5 | -2.2 | -1.09 | 0% | -0.10 | 0 |
| Lamont WarrenRB | 5 | 2 | 8 | 1.6 | -4.0 | -0.81 | 0% | -0.16 | 0 |