Broncos
24–27
DEN @ JAX
Jaguars
Final · Mon, Dec 13, 1999 · 1999 Week 14 · Alltel Stadium
Ground Share
Broncos had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
DEN 53%47% JAX
39.5%GROUND34.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B.Griese | 33 | +0.45 | +14.7 | — | 62.5% | — | — |
| M.Brunell | 28 | -0.28 | -7.7 | — | 44.0% | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | DEN | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | +0.14 | -0.06 |
| EPA / Dropback | +0.45 | -0.28 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.13 | +0.02 |
| Success Rate | 41.8% | 41.0% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 22.4% | 22.9% |
| Yards / Play | 5.34 | 4.36 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.06 | -0.08 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 38.9% | 35.7% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.2 | 7.5 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.69 | 3.80 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 40.7% | 50.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 22.2% | 16.7% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 14.9% | 13.1% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 24.4 | 36.3 |
| Plays | 67 | 61 |
| Total Yards | 358 | 266 |
| Total EPA | +9.5 | -3.5 |
| Giveaways | 2 | 0 |
Player Stats
DEN
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian GrieseQB | 33 | 20/32 | 267 | 8.1 | +14.7 | +0.45 | — | 52% | +0.28 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olandis GaryRB | 20 | 67 | 3.4 | -0.3 | -0.01 | 40% | -0.11 | 1 |
| Howard GriffithRB | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | -0.4 | -0.43 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Brian GrieseQB | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | -0.8 | -0.28 | 33% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Derek LovilleRB | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | -1.2 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron ChamberlainTE | 4 | 3 | 75 | 18.8 | +8.0 | +1.99 | 75% | +0.26 | 1 |
| Rod SmithWR | 10 | 6 | 92 | 9.2 | +5.7 | +0.56 | 40% | +0.08 | 1 |
| Ed McCaffreyWR | 8 | 6 | 61 | 7.6 | +3.2 | +0.40 | 75% | +0.18 | 0 |
| Howard GriffithRB | 4 | 2 | 20 | 5.0 | +0.6 | +0.14 | 50% | -0.07 | 0 |
| Olandis GaryRB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | -0.1 | -0.06 | 0% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Derek LovilleRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.36 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Dwayne CarswellOT | 5 | 3 | 22 | 4.4 | -1.3 | -0.26 | 40% | -0.09 | 0 |
JAX
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark BrunellQB | 28 | 11/25 | 104 | 3.7 | -7.7 | -0.28 | — | 29% | -0.35 | 0 | 0 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James StewartRB | 17 | 78 | 4.6 | +4.2 | +0.24 | 59% | +0.19 | 2 |
| Mark BrunellQB | 4 | 9 | 2.3 | +0.8 | +0.20 | 50% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 9 | 74 | 8.2 | -3.3 | -0.36 | 33% | -0.52 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy SmithWR | 7 | 5 | 55 | 7.9 | +3.1 | +0.45 | 71% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Daimon SheltonFB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.0 | +1.1 | +1.05 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Fred TaylorRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.2 | -1.16 | 0% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Damon JonesTE | 5 | 1 | 21 | 4.2 | -1.5 | -0.30 | 20% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Chris HowardRB | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -1.6 | -0.81 | 0% | -0.06 | 0 |
| Keenan McCardellWR | 5 | 2 | 13 | 2.6 | -1.6 | -0.32 | 20% | -0.11 | 0 |
| Reggie BarlowWR | 4 | 2 | 19 | 4.8 | -2.6 | -0.65 | 0% | -0.07 | 0 |