Bills
14–31
BUF @ IND
Colts
Final · Sun, Sep 12, 1999 · 1999 Week 1 · RCA Dome
Ground Share
Colts had the edge on the field
Teams with this edge win 71% of the time
BUF 44%56% IND
42.0%GROUND52.8%
Win Probability
Preparing chart…
QB Matchup
| QB | Plays | EPA/play | Total EPA | aDoT | CMP% | xCMP% | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.Flutie | 47 | -0.23 | -10.9 | — | 52.4% | — | — |
| P.Manning | 33 | +0.38 | +12.5 | — | 63.6% | — | — |
Team Stats
| Metric | BUF | IND |
|---|---|---|
| EPA / Play | -0.23 | +0.10 |
| EPA / Dropback | -0.23 | +0.38 |
| EPA / Rush | -0.34 | -0.30 |
| Success Rate | 38.8% | 38.7% |
| Explosive Play Rate | 20.9% | 27.4% |
| Yards / Play | 4.79 | 6.39 |
| Early-Down EPA / Play | -0.29 | -0.02 |
| 3rd/4th-Down Conversion | 33.3% | 60.0% |
| Avg 3rd-Down Distance | 9.6 | 6.1 |
| Line Yards / Carry | 2.54 | 2.36 |
| Opportunity Rate (4+) | 46.7% | 32.0% |
| Stuff Rate | 26.7% | 28.0% |
| Havoc Rate Allowed | 25.4% | 12.9% |
| Avg Starting Field Position | 36.3 | 31.8 |
| Plays | 67 | 62 |
| Total Yards | 321 | 396 |
| Total EPA | -15.3 | +6.4 |
| Giveaways | 3 | 3 |
Player Stats
BUF
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug FlutieQB | 47 | 22/42 | 274 | 5.8 | -10.9 | -0.23 | — | 38% | -0.28 | 1 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Doug FlutieQB | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | +1.2 | +0.29 | 75% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jonathan LintonFB | 5 | 16 | 3.2 | -0.9 | -0.19 | 40% | -0.04 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 6 | 7 | 1.2 | -3.0 | -0.51 | 17% | -0.07 | 0 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric MouldsWR | 16 | 10 | 147 | 9.2 | +6.4 | +0.40 | 50% | +0.04 | 0 |
| Peerless PriceWR | 3 | 3 | 51 | 17.0 | +3.3 | +1.10 | 67% | +0.07 | 0 |
| Jonathan LintonFB | 6 | 3 | 42 | 7.0 | +1.4 | +0.24 | 33% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Antowain SmithRB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9.0 | +1.4 | +1.38 | 100% | +0.06 | 0 |
| Sam GashFB | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12.0 | +0.9 | +0.86 | 100% | +0.02 | 0 |
| Andre ReedWR | 9 | 4 | 39 | 4.3 | +0.7 | +0.08 | 44% | -0.05 | 1 |
| Thurman ThomasRB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.4 | -0.39 | 0% | -0.02 | 0 |
| Kevin R. WilliamsWR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -0.9 | -0.95 | 0% | -0.01 | 0 |
| Jay RiemersmaTE | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | -15.5 | -3.88 | 0% | -0.28 | 0 |
IND
Dropbacks
| Player | DB | C/Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | CPOE | SR | WPA | TD | INT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton ManningQB | 33 | 21/33 | 284 | 8.6 | +12.5 | +0.38 | — | 49% | +0.30 | 2 | 2 |
Rush attempts
| Player | Att | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 25 | 72 | 2.9 | -9.9 | -0.40 | 24% | -0.19 | 1 |
Pass targets
| Player | Tgt | Rec | Yds | Yds/Play | EPA | EPA/Play | SR | WPA | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin HarrisonWR | 13 | 8 | 121 | 9.3 | +10.2 | +0.78 | 62% | +0.20 | 2 |
| E.G. GreenWR | 8 | 5 | 124 | 15.5 | +7.3 | +0.91 | 63% | +0.17 | 0 |
| Ken DilgerTE | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9.5 | +2.5 | +1.23 | 100% | +0.05 | 0 |
| Edgerrin JamesRB | 4 | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | -0.8 | -0.21 | 25% | +0.00 | 0 |
| Jerome PathonWR | 5 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 | -6.3 | -1.26 | 0% | -0.11 | 0 |